D-Wave Quantum price forecast: what the model says

QBTS SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$11.45

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$11.96

Bear 68%

$4.79

Bull 68%

$24.86

68% Range Width

167.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $8.22 $9.27 $10.37 $11.59 $12.92 $14.30 $15.87
2026-11-29 $6.56 $8.02 $9.62 $11.51 $13.66 $16.00 $18.75
2026-12-06 $5.49 $7.22 $9.21 $11.66 $14.54 $17.81 $21.76
2026-12-13 $4.77 $6.69 $9.01 $11.95 $15.55 $19.73 $24.91
2026-12-20 $3.99 $5.98 $8.48 $11.78 $15.92 $20.87 $27.15
2026-12-27 $3.55 $5.64 $8.37 $12.07 $16.84 $22.65 $30.16
2027-01-03 $3.05 $5.15 $8.00 $11.97 $17.22 $23.76 $32.34
2027-01-10 $2.45 $4.43 $7.25 $11.31 $16.82 $23.84 $33.20
2027-01-17 $2.15 $4.14 $7.04 $11.35 $17.32 $25.04 $35.49
2027-01-24 $1.96 $3.97 $7.01 $11.61 $18.11 $26.62 $38.27
2027-01-31 $1.75 $3.74 $6.84 $11.67 $18.60 $27.81 $40.56
2027-02-07 $1.61 $3.62 $6.84 $11.96 $19.41 $29.42 $43.42
2027-02-14 $1.40 $3.36 $6.62 $11.93 $19.79 $30.51 $45.67
2027-02-21 $1.20 $3.08 $6.34 $11.77 $19.98 $31.34 $47.58
2027-02-28 $1.07 $2.92 $6.23 $11.88 $20.56 $32.71 $50.23
2027-03-07 $0.9793 $2.83 $6.23 $12.16 $21.39 $34.44 $53.41
2027-03-14 $0.8312 $2.59 $5.96 $11.97 $21.51 $35.16 $55.21
2027-03-21 $0.7663 $2.52 $5.98 $12.27 $22.36 $36.93 $58.47
2027-03-28 $0.6592 $2.34 $5.78 $12.17 $22.59 $37.81 $60.51
2027-04-04 $0.5057 $2.01 $5.26 $11.50 $21.90 $37.34 $60.62
2027-04-11 $0.4436 $1.90 $5.15 $11.54 $22.33 $38.49 $63.05
2027-04-18 $0.4079 $1.85 $5.18 $11.80 $23.13 $40.20 $66.28
2027-04-25 $0.3589 $1.76 $5.09 $11.86 $23.58 $41.40 $68.80
2027-05-02 $0.3319 $1.72 $5.13 $12.15 $24.41 $43.18 $72.17
2027-05-09 $0.2827 $1.61 $4.99 $12.12 $24.74 $44.25 $74.60
2027-05-16 $0.2317 $1.47 $4.79 $11.96 $24.86 $45.00 $76.57

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.