PYPL SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$53.29

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$53.78

Bear 68%

$42.41

Bull 68%

$72.46

68% Range Width

55.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $48.43 $50.11 $51.81 $53.69 $55.69 $57.77 $60.10
2026-10-04 $46.84 $49.29 $51.88 $54.82 $58.09 $61.63 $65.77
2026-10-11 $46.21 $49.32 $52.69 $56.62 $61.14 $66.22 $72.41
2026-10-18 $43.69 $47.04 $50.72 $55.11 $60.26 $66.19 $73.64
2026-10-25 $41.62 $45.11 $49.01 $53.74 $59.38 $66.01 $74.55
2026-11-01 $40.63 $44.36 $48.58 $53.77 $60.10 $67.69 $77.77
2026-11-08 $40.23 $44.24 $48.85 $54.61 $61.77 $70.60 $82.66
2026-11-15 $39.58 $43.80 $48.69 $54.89 $62.75 $72.63 $86.52
2026-11-22 $38.44 $42.71 $47.70 $54.11 $62.31 $72.79 $87.83
2026-11-29 $36.89 $41.08 $46.01 $52.36 $60.56 $71.14 $86.49
2026-12-06 $36.51 $40.85 $46.01 $52.74 $61.55 $73.13 $90.39
2026-12-13 $35.97 $40.41 $45.73 $52.73 $62.03 $74.45 $93.39
2026-12-20 $35.49 $40.11 $45.69 $53.16 $63.26 $77.10 $98.97
2026-12-27 $35.34 $40.21 $46.17 $54.29 $65.52 $81.39 $107.63
2027-01-03 $35.47 $40.65 $47.11 $56.07 $68.78 $87.42 $120.02
2027-01-10 $34.24 $39.33 $45.69 $54.58 $67.30 $86.16 $119.76
2027-01-17 $33.13 $38.13 $44.41 $53.23 $65.95 $85.01 $119.55
2027-01-24 $32.64 $37.72 $44.15 $53.27 $66.62 $87.06 $125.44
2027-01-31 $32.50 $37.74 $44.44 $54.09 $68.50 $91.19 $135.93
2027-02-07 $32.15 $37.48 $44.36 $54.37 $69.55 $94.04 $144.38
2027-02-14 $31.44 $36.72 $43.57 $53.59 $68.92 $93.96 $146.62
2027-02-21 $30.41 $35.53 $42.17 $51.88 $66.75 $91.07 $142.33
2027-02-28 $30.18 $35.38 $42.19 $52.25 $67.88 $94.04 $151.64
2027-03-07 $29.83 $35.07 $41.97 $52.25 $68.41 $96.00 $158.99
2027-03-14 $29.54 $34.88 $41.97 $52.67 $69.81 $99.97 $173.11
2027-03-21 $29.47 $35.00 $42.41 $53.78 $72.46 $106.70 $197.34

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.