PLTR SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$174.54

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$250.60

Bear 68%

$122.39

Bull 68%

$606.46

68% Range Width

193.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $119.27 $135.30 $153.31 $175.13 $201.03 $230.98 $268.52
2026-10-04 $101.90 $121.37 $144.66 $174.86 $213.49 $261.89 $328.20
2026-10-11 $91.62 $112.86 $139.37 $175.48 $224.24 $289.15 $384.43
2026-10-18 $82.04 $103.82 $132.01 $171.95 $228.44 $307.67 $431.34
2026-10-25 $77.03 $99.84 $130.30 $175.06 $241.12 $338.41 $499.47
2026-11-01 $73.04 $96.78 $129.43 $179.06 $255.36 $373.23 $580.23
2026-11-08 $72.13 $97.72 $133.98 $191.07 $282.64 $431.50 $710.30
2026-11-15 $70.09 $96.84 $135.75 $199.00 $304.47 $484.27 $842.39
2026-11-22 $66.33 $93.05 $132.73 $198.85 $312.60 $514.16 $936.68
2026-11-29 $63.34 $90.18 $130.86 $200.34 $323.67 $550.96 $1,053.44
2026-12-06 $60.78 $87.74 $129.38 $202.20 $335.35 $590.27 $1,184.33
2026-12-13 $59.27 $86.82 $130.25 $208.10 $355.17 $648.83 $1,375.02
2026-12-20 $56.68 $84.09 $128.06 $208.65 $365.35 $690.38 $1,539.60
2026-12-27 $54.18 $81.34 $125.62 $208.47 $374.06 $730.33 $1,712.79
2027-01-03 $52.07 $79.05 $123.76 $209.10 $384.32 $775.34 $1,914.52
2027-01-10 $49.30 $75.52 $119.50 $204.82 $383.79 $795.19 $2,049.45
2027-01-17 $48.05 $74.45 $119.45 $208.61 $401.03 $861.16 $2,353.75
2027-01-24 $47.06 $73.76 $120.03 $213.68 $421.83 $940.67 $2,739.81
2027-01-31 $47.50 $75.57 $125.25 $228.65 $467.57 $1,097.38 $3,493.53
2027-02-07 $47.18 $76.00 $127.96 $238.68 $503.32 $1,236.27 $4,272.00
2027-02-14 $45.58 $74.05 $125.97 $238.43 $513.49 $1,301.86 $4,770.85
2027-02-21 $44.34 $72.67 $125.02 $240.36 $529.56 $1,390.17 $5,442.98
2027-02-28 $43.21 $71.45 $124.27 $242.65 $546.93 $1,487.50 $6,240.73
2027-03-07 $42.71 $71.35 $125.72 $250.13 $579.67 $1,647.18 $7,548.85
2027-03-14 $41.42 $69.76 $124.20 $250.79 $594.29 $1,750.27 $8,641.34
2027-03-21 $40.13 $68.08 $122.39 $250.60 $606.46 $1,848.45 $9,821.38

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.