NBIS SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$199.77

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$406.06

Bear 68%

$199.16

Bull 68%

$836.38

68% Range Width

156.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $143.45 $162.43 $183.02 $207.01 $234.22 $264.13 $299.53
2026-08-09 $127.21 $152.54 $181.64 $217.56 $260.75 $311.07 $374.23
2026-08-16 $117.67 $147.12 $182.39 $227.80 $284.79 $354.07 $444.86
2026-08-23 $105.38 $136.45 $174.99 $226.40 $293.28 $377.56 $492.13
2026-08-30 $102.03 $136.27 $180.08 $240.37 $321.38 $426.75 $574.73
2026-09-06 $95.97 $131.78 $178.90 $245.58 $337.77 $461.19 $639.65
2026-09-13 $89.18 $125.53 $174.57 $245.73 $346.69 $485.36 $691.22
2026-09-20 $84.36 $121.54 $172.89 $249.18 $360.10 $516.17 $753.70
2026-09-27 $83.97 $123.70 $179.79 $265.03 $391.87 $574.51 $859.18
2026-10-04 $86.51 $130.18 $193.16 $290.98 $439.80 $658.92 $1,008.34
2026-10-11 $82.06 $125.93 $190.45 $292.68 $451.44 $690.04 $1,078.65
2026-10-18 $72.87 $113.87 $175.27 $274.36 $431.19 $671.43 $1,070.43
2026-10-25 $69.98 $111.84 $175.98 $281.90 $453.56 $722.84 $1,181.18
2026-11-01 $69.02 $112.75 $181.27 $297.00 $488.99 $797.25 $1,334.73
2026-11-08 $67.84 $113.18 $185.72 $310.90 $523.23 $871.82 $1,493.75
2026-11-15 $63.56 $108.15 $180.90 $309.02 $530.88 $902.83 $1,580.95
2026-11-22 $63.65 $110.44 $188.30 $328.20 $575.58 $999.04 $1,787.96
2026-11-29 $61.54 $108.75 $188.80 $335.35 $599.61 $1,060.95 $1,938.12
2026-12-06 $58.52 $105.18 $185.65 $335.56 $610.78 $1,100.03 $2,047.93
2026-12-13 $56.44 $103.14 $185.05 $340.31 $630.49 $1,155.68 $2,192.41
2026-12-20 $57.09 $106.10 $193.51 $362.10 $682.89 $1,274.09 $2,463.25
2026-12-27 $59.62 $112.67 $208.92 $397.77 $763.66 $1,450.29 $2,857.70
2027-01-03 $57.26 $109.88 $206.84 $400.11 $780.78 $1,507.08 $3,021.75
2027-01-10 $51.43 $100.09 $191.01 $374.92 $742.64 $1,455.01 $2,964.41
2027-01-17 $50.02 $99.13 $192.60 $385.28 $778.17 $1,554.50 $3,233.79
2027-01-24 $49.87 $100.67 $199.16 $406.06 $836.38 $1,703.83 $3,619.74

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.