NBIS SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$212.98

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$411.84

Bear 68%

$220.94

Bull 68%

$752.05

68% Range Width

129.0%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $158.62 $178.46 $199.67 $223.98 $251.07 $280.31 $314.25
2026-10-04 $148.56 $175.99 $206.70 $243.59 $286.65 $335.25 $394.23
2026-10-11 $132.82 $163.65 $199.43 $243.94 $297.73 $360.53 $439.31
2026-10-18 $113.81 $145.15 $182.68 $230.82 $290.78 $362.86 $455.92
2026-10-25 $104.94 $137.88 $178.43 $231.83 $300.08 $384.20 $495.50
2026-11-01 $103.59 $139.72 $185.27 $246.64 $326.89 $427.95 $564.53
2026-11-08 $101.84 $140.73 $190.83 $259.78 $351.83 $470.07 $632.99
2026-11-15 $95.02 $134.42 $186.29 $259.13 $358.36 $488.27 $670.64
2026-11-22 $92.83 $134.16 $189.61 $268.97 $379.04 $525.64 $734.93
2026-11-29 $88.86 $131.10 $188.85 $272.97 $391.69 $552.44 $785.63
2026-12-06 $85.65 $128.83 $188.89 $277.85 $405.45 $580.90 $839.22
2026-12-13 $81.01 $124.20 $185.32 $277.36 $411.50 $598.73 $878.46
2026-12-20 $80.50 $126.05 $191.76 $292.51 $441.94 $654.00 $975.92
2026-12-27 $82.67 $131.99 $204.39 $317.26 $487.40 $732.50 $1,110.08
2027-01-03 $78.17 $127.42 $201.06 $317.91 $497.06 $759.29 $1,169.53
2027-01-10 $69.64 $116.01 $186.71 $300.97 $479.29 $744.67 $1,166.53
2027-01-17 $66.27 $112.55 $184.35 $302.30 $489.30 $771.72 $1,227.07
2027-01-24 $67.18 $116.05 $193.02 $321.31 $527.49 $842.90 $1,357.73
2027-01-31 $67.51 $118.57 $200.21 $338.19 $562.94 $911.10 $1,486.21
2027-02-07 $64.07 $114.57 $196.60 $337.35 $569.94 $935.09 $1,546.04
2027-02-14 $63.56 $115.50 $201.11 $349.97 $599.17 $995.08 $1,665.13
2027-02-21 $61.65 $113.87 $201.18 $355.10 $616.10 $1,035.77 $1,754.22
2027-02-28 $60.13 $112.78 $202.02 $361.36 $634.84 $1,079.55 $1,849.07
2027-03-07 $57.44 $109.47 $198.91 $360.73 $641.99 $1,104.68 $1,914.25
2027-03-14 $57.81 $112.03 $206.62 $380.14 $685.74 $1,194.58 $2,095.23
2027-03-21 $60.06 $118.18 $220.94 $411.84 $752.05 $1,324.79 $2,349.16

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.