META SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$644.83

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$684.23

Bear 68%

$532.16

Bull 68%

$870.68

68% Range Width

49.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $565.99 $589.50 $612.77 $637.53 $663.12 $688.77 $716.41
2026-08-09 $528.06 $563.68 $599.65 $638.68 $679.78 $721.76 $767.84
2026-08-16 $501.69 $545.04 $589.43 $638.25 $690.37 $744.30 $804.27
2026-08-23 $485.43 $535.12 $586.61 $643.87 $705.69 $770.33 $842.97
2026-08-30 $463.71 $517.94 $574.72 $638.51 $708.05 $781.46 $864.70
2026-09-06 $446.85 $505.06 $566.59 $636.33 $713.05 $794.71 $888.06
2026-09-13 $434.71 $496.69 $562.76 $638.27 $721.98 $811.77 $915.17
2026-09-20 $423.69 $489.01 $559.21 $640.04 $730.32 $827.83 $940.87
2026-09-27 $415.94 $484.59 $558.91 $645.10 $742.03 $847.38 $970.27
2026-10-04 $408.95 $480.69 $558.91 $650.23 $753.57 $866.58 $999.16
2026-10-11 $403.99 $478.85 $561.01 $657.52 $767.39 $888.21 $1,030.73
2026-10-18 $397.22 $474.68 $560.24 $661.35 $777.13 $905.14 $1,056.92
2026-10-25 $387.34 $466.84 $555.25 $660.38 $781.50 $916.17 $1,076.69
2026-11-01 $378.99 $460.57 $551.87 $661.11 $787.70 $929.20 $1,098.73
2026-11-08 $370.41 $453.78 $547.69 $660.71 $792.40 $940.37 $1,118.55
2026-11-15 $366.05 $451.79 $548.94 $666.49 $804.17 $959.62 $1,147.64
2026-11-22 $355.20 $441.89 $540.71 $660.97 $802.60 $963.31 $1,158.63
2026-11-29 $346.75 $434.64 $535.42 $658.73 $804.71 $971.14 $1,174.32
2026-12-06 $341.11 $430.61 $533.80 $660.72 $811.69 $984.57 $1,196.51
2026-12-13 $335.65 $426.65 $532.15 $662.54 $818.37 $997.59 $1,218.17
2026-12-20 $332.33 $425.19 $533.39 $667.76 $829.04 $1,015.26 $1,245.34
2026-12-27 $329.20 $423.88 $534.74 $673.03 $839.73 $1,032.97 $1,272.59
2027-01-03 $327.43 $424.17 $537.96 $680.53 $853.08 $1,053.84 $1,303.65
2027-01-10 $323.85 $422.13 $538.30 $684.48 $862.12 $1,069.58 $1,328.63
2027-01-17 $317.50 $416.66 $534.50 $683.48 $865.35 $1,078.60 $1,345.91
2027-01-24 $312.21 $412.45 $532.16 $684.23 $870.68 $1,090.16 $1,366.29

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.