META SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$674.75

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$740.80

Bear 68%

$579.97

Bull 68%

$934.60

68% Range Width

47.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $610.52 $635.11 $659.39 $685.16 $711.70 $738.23 $766.75
2026-10-04 $573.85 $611.60 $649.56 $690.56 $733.56 $777.29 $825.07
2026-10-11 $552.05 $598.56 $645.94 $697.76 $752.77 $809.38 $871.96
2026-10-18 $531.93 $585.15 $639.97 $700.54 $765.52 $833.02 $908.36
2026-10-25 $510.68 $569.10 $629.86 $697.63 $770.98 $847.83 $934.31
2026-11-01 $495.24 $558.36 $624.58 $699.05 $780.29 $866.06 $963.28
2026-11-08 $480.27 $547.38 $618.36 $698.79 $787.18 $881.15 $988.36
2026-11-15 $469.81 $540.82 $616.48 $702.81 $798.33 $900.50 $1,017.78
2026-11-22 $454.27 $528.09 $607.31 $698.33 $799.69 $908.78 $1,034.72
2026-11-29 $441.97 $518.55 $601.30 $696.98 $804.18 $920.20 $1,054.86
2026-12-06 $433.94 $513.51 $600.03 $700.66 $814.04 $937.37 $1,081.24
2026-12-13 $426.09 $508.39 $598.42 $703.72 $823.00 $953.40 $1,106.20
2026-12-20 $419.99 $505.25 $599.08 $709.44 $835.12 $973.17 $1,135.69
2026-12-27 $414.33 $502.44 $599.99 $715.35 $847.38 $993.10 $1,165.40
2027-01-03 $410.02 $501.01 $602.31 $722.72 $861.20 $1,014.72 $1,196.98
2027-01-10 $403.17 $496.43 $600.84 $725.59 $869.75 $1,030.26 $1,221.61
2027-01-17 $393.04 $487.78 $594.46 $722.59 $871.39 $1,037.80 $1,237.01
2027-01-24 $386.08 $482.68 $592.05 $724.05 $878.04 $1,050.97 $1,258.79
2027-01-31 $378.40 $476.56 $588.28 $723.78 $882.57 $1,061.61 $1,277.59
2027-02-07 $373.65 $473.80 $588.35 $727.92 $892.14 $1,078.01 $1,303.02
2027-02-14 $364.01 $465.00 $581.14 $723.31 $891.36 $1,082.33 $1,314.37
2027-02-21 $356.58 $458.70 $576.75 $721.92 $894.24 $1,090.80 $1,330.48
2027-02-28 $352.35 $456.19 $576.78 $725.70 $903.15 $1,106.27 $1,354.72
2027-03-07 $347.96 $453.38 $576.35 $728.85 $911.25 $1,120.74 $1,377.78
2027-03-14 $344.92 $452.27 $578.08 $734.74 $922.80 $1,139.52 $1,406.25
2027-03-21 $342.04 $451.32 $579.97 $740.80 $934.60 $1,158.66 $1,435.26

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.