LIN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$507.02

Base Path by Jan 31, 2027

$533.46

Bear 68%

$484.05

Bull 68%

$583.30

68% Range Width

18.6%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-09 $484.80 $492.67 $500.23 $508.02 $515.83 $523.42 $531.35
2026-08-16 $474.41 $486.54 $498.19 $510.21 $522.26 $533.99 $546.25
2026-08-23 $464.39 $479.81 $494.62 $509.93 $525.27 $540.21 $555.85
2026-08-30 $455.16 $473.30 $490.74 $508.77 $526.86 $544.48 $562.92
2026-09-06 $450.99 $471.51 $491.25 $511.66 $532.15 $552.11 $573.03
2026-09-13 $444.70 $467.34 $489.13 $511.67 $534.30 $556.36 $579.48
2026-09-20 $442.77 $467.36 $491.03 $515.53 $540.14 $564.13 $589.27
2026-09-27 $438.38 $464.76 $490.16 $516.46 $542.88 $568.65 $595.67
2026-10-04 $434.43 $462.48 $489.51 $517.49 $545.62 $573.06 $601.84
2026-10-11 $432.53 $462.16 $490.73 $520.31 $550.06 $579.08 $609.52
2026-10-18 $428.60 $459.72 $489.73 $520.82 $552.09 $582.61 $614.63
2026-10-25 $422.35 $454.88 $486.25 $518.77 $551.47 $583.41 $616.92
2026-11-01 $418.96 $452.93 $485.69 $519.66 $553.84 $587.22 $622.25
2026-11-08 $416.95 $452.31 $486.44 $521.83 $557.44 $592.23 $628.74
2026-11-15 $412.70 $449.38 $484.80 $521.54 $558.52 $594.65 $632.59
2026-11-22 $407.73 $445.69 $482.34 $520.38 $558.68 $596.10 $635.40
2026-11-29 $406.86 $446.07 $483.96 $523.27 $562.87 $601.57 $642.21
2026-12-06 $403.28 $443.69 $482.74 $523.28 $564.12 $604.03 $645.97
2026-12-13 $403.58 $445.19 $485.40 $527.15 $569.21 $610.34 $653.55
2026-12-20 $401.12 $443.86 $485.17 $528.08 $571.32 $613.60 $658.03
2026-12-27 $398.85 $442.69 $485.08 $529.12 $573.50 $616.91 $662.52
2027-01-03 $398.40 $443.33 $486.79 $531.94 $577.46 $621.98 $668.77
2027-01-10 $395.78 $441.76 $486.24 $532.46 $579.06 $624.65 $672.57
2027-01-17 $390.73 $437.70 $483.15 $530.39 $578.04 $624.66 $673.67
2027-01-24 $388.46 $436.48 $482.97 $531.29 $580.04 $627.74 $677.90
2027-01-31 $387.46 $436.54 $484.05 $533.46 $583.30 $632.08 $683.38

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.