Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.003456 0.003813 0.004208 0.004679 0.005230 0.005860 0.006641
2026-06-21 0.003019 0.003501 0.004074 0.004817 0.005773 0.006987 0.008689
2026-06-28 0.002687 0.003215 0.003873 0.004776 0.006017 0.007721 0.010353
2026-07-05 0.002456 0.003009 0.003726 0.004753 0.006244 0.008435 0.012132
2026-07-12 0.002237 0.002791 0.003527 0.004619 0.006274 0.008844 0.013519
2026-07-19 0.002040 0.002580 0.003314 0.004430 0.006183 0.009030 0.014556
2026-07-26 0.001906 0.002442 0.003186 0.004348 0.006237 0.009452 0.016140
2026-08-02 0.001840 0.002392 0.003176 0.004440 0.006578 0.010431 0.019176
2026-08-09 0.001730 0.002270 0.003051 0.004333 0.006567 0.010753 0.020884
2026-08-16 0.001628 0.002155 0.002925 0.004214 0.006514 0.010981 0.022457
2026-08-23 0.001546 0.002063 0.002828 0.004130 0.006513 0.011311 0.024434
2026-08-30 0.001504 0.002027 0.002816 0.004188 0.006781 0.012267 0.028662
2026-09-06 0.001468 0.002002 0.002821 0.004283 0.007154 0.013595 0.035127
2026-09-13 0.001440 0.001985 0.002839 0.004406 0.007605 0.015262 0.044434
2026-09-20 0.001383 0.001922 0.002776 0.004370 0.007716 0.016096 0.051307
2026-09-27 0.001334 0.001867 0.002723 0.004350 0.007858 0.017060 0.060074
2026-10-04 0.001272 0.001788 0.002625 0.004232 0.007760 0.017309 0.065423
2026-10-11 0.001205 0.001701 0.002506 0.004065 0.007529 0.017101 0.067899
2026-10-18 0.001159 0.001644 0.002437 0.003992 0.007513 0.017571 0.075804
2026-10-25 0.001141 0.001631 0.002445 0.004073 0.007881 0.019434 0.098491
2026-11-01 0.001097 0.001574 0.002371 0.003979 0.007798 0.019716 0.108400
2026-11-08 0.001054 0.001516 0.002294 0.003874 0.007673 0.019816 0.117155
2026-11-15 0.001018 0.001470 0.002233 0.003800 0.007621 0.020188 0.130681