IREN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$40.93

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$42.70

Bear 68%

$14.60

Bull 68%

$161.15

68% Range Width

343.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $24.78 $29.47 $34.96 $41.94 $50.61 $61.12 $74.94
2026-08-09 $17.71 $23.00 $29.91 $39.72 $53.57 $72.77 $102.11
2026-08-16 $13.95 $19.17 $26.46 $37.64 $54.84 $81.08 $125.82
2026-08-23 $11.79 $16.94 $24.54 $36.96 $57.50 $91.53 $155.55
2026-08-30 $10.68 $15.99 $24.22 $38.48 $63.72 $109.06 $203.10
2026-09-06 $9.64 $14.92 $23.49 $39.07 $68.39 $124.98 $253.45
2026-09-13 $9.12 $14.61 $23.89 $41.65 $77.21 $151.19 $336.33
2026-09-20 $8.51 $14.04 $23.73 $43.13 $84.19 $175.72 $426.75
2026-09-27 $8.09 $13.72 $23.96 $45.38 $93.29 $207.86 $553.67
2026-10-04 $7.82 $13.63 $24.58 $48.51 $105.14 $250.79 $737.63
2026-10-11 $7.10 $12.61 $23.26 $47.24 $106.34 $266.50 $843.90
2026-10-18 $6.31 $11.38 $21.34 $44.34 $102.80 $268.00 $901.22
2026-10-25 $5.77 $10.59 $20.30 $43.37 $104.40 $286.21 $1,040.81
2026-11-01 $5.19 $9.66 $18.84 $41.18 $102.24 $292.43 $1,137.44
2026-11-08 $4.68 $8.82 $17.47 $39.01 $99.63 $296.45 $1,229.07
2026-11-15 $4.34 $8.30 $16.74 $38.30 $101.15 $315.39 $1,412.81
2026-11-22 $4.20 $8.18 $16.89 $39.88 $110.02 $365.13 $1,817.95
2026-11-29 $4.00 $7.93 $16.69 $40.50 $116.08 $407.28 $2,234.35
2026-12-06 $3.95 $7.98 $17.21 $43.19 $129.92 $489.58 $3,054.46
2026-12-13 $3.82 $7.86 $17.31 $44.73 $140.34 $563.51 $3,956.82
2026-12-20 $3.75 $7.84 $17.66 $47.08 $154.58 $665.87 $5,353.63
2026-12-27 $3.72 $7.92 $18.26 $50.35 $173.74 $809.21 $7,609.75
2027-01-03 $3.48 $7.49 $17.47 $49.02 $173.69 $843.83 $8,659.68
2027-01-10 $3.19 $6.90 $16.22 $45.99 $165.53 $825.05 $8,936.62
2027-01-17 $2.99 $6.54 $15.58 $44.99 $166.50 $868.60 $10,378.79
2027-01-24 $2.76 $6.08 $14.60 $42.70 $161.15 $868.25 $11,138.28

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.