IREN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$42.87

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$50.35

Bear 68%

$17.73

Bull 68%

$174.21

68% Range Width

310.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $26.58 $31.40 $36.98 $43.96 $52.50 $62.67 $75.79
2026-10-04 $21.36 $27.62 $35.66 $46.91 $62.46 $83.49 $114.67
2026-10-11 $17.30 $23.69 $32.50 $45.78 $65.70 $95.20 $143.56
2026-10-18 $14.09 $20.17 $28.98 $43.05 $65.58 $101.43 $165.31
2026-10-25 $12.10 $17.98 $26.89 $41.86 $67.27 $110.43 $193.47
2026-11-01 $10.46 $16.03 $24.82 $40.22 $67.72 $117.24 $219.29
2026-11-08 $9.10 $14.34 $22.88 $38.42 $67.44 $122.48 $243.36
2026-11-15 $8.20 $13.26 $21.77 $37.86 $69.24 $131.92 $278.66
2026-11-22 $7.73 $12.83 $21.70 $39.11 $74.70 $149.79 $338.20
2026-11-29 $7.21 $12.27 $21.31 $39.68 $78.87 $165.87 $398.90
2026-12-06 $7.02 $12.25 $21.91 $42.29 $87.83 $194.86 $503.65
2026-12-13 $6.68 $11.92 $21.86 $43.54 $94.02 $218.86 $604.28
2026-12-20 $6.43 $11.74 $22.11 $45.58 $102.73 $252.34 $751.04
2026-12-27 $6.28 $11.74 $22.75 $48.60 $114.61 $298.12 $963.01
2027-01-03 $5.77 $10.96 $21.66 $47.42 $115.45 $312.89 $1,072.86
2027-01-10 $5.17 $9.96 $19.97 $44.57 $111.26 $311.47 $1,120.23
2027-01-17 $4.77 $9.31 $18.99 $43.34 $111.31 $323.49 $1,230.33
2027-01-24 $4.37 $8.65 $17.90 $41.63 $109.69 $329.71 $1,319.68
2027-01-31 $4.00 $8.00 $16.79 $39.75 $107.21 $332.46 $1,395.67
2027-02-07 $3.75 $7.61 $16.21 $39.17 $108.57 $349.34 $1,553.08
2027-02-14 $3.64 $7.51 $16.32 $40.47 $116.16 $391.90 $1,877.84
2027-02-21 $3.50 $7.32 $16.18 $41.07 $121.63 $428.47 $2,200.75
2027-02-28 $3.48 $7.41 $16.75 $43.79 $134.98 $502.91 $2,831.58
2027-03-07 $3.39 $7.31 $16.83 $45.08 $143.73 $561.61 $3,424.46
2027-03-14 $3.32 $7.30 $17.14 $47.20 $156.46 $646.43 $4,336.10
2027-03-21 $3.30 $7.38 $17.73 $50.35 $174.21 $766.34 $5,736.99

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.