IONQ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$35.92

Base Path by Jan 31, 2027

$42.22

Bear 68%

$16.85

Bull 68%

$138.21

68% Range Width

287.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-09 $24.75 $28.03 $31.70 $36.12 $41.34 $47.34 $54.80
2026-08-16 $20.46 $24.90 $30.34 $37.58 $47.09 $59.38 $76.76
2026-08-23 $17.52 $22.51 $29.06 $38.48 $52.01 $71.31 $101.97
2026-08-30 $15.14 $20.28 $27.39 $38.27 $55.10 $81.21 $127.16
2026-09-06 $13.56 $18.80 $26.40 $38.69 $58.98 $93.01 $159.07
2026-09-13 $12.42 $17.75 $25.82 $39.51 $63.51 $106.88 $199.59
2026-09-20 $11.73 $17.27 $25.97 $41.46 $70.30 $126.51 $259.67
2026-09-27 $10.70 $16.10 $24.85 $41.00 $72.55 $137.95 $306.82
2026-10-04 $9.98 $15.34 $24.28 $41.40 $76.48 $153.95 $373.21
2026-10-11 $9.24 $14.47 $23.40 $41.06 $78.81 $167.03 $438.98
2026-10-18 $8.36 $13.26 $21.79 $39.06 $77.15 $170.12 $476.43
2026-10-25 $7.84 $12.63 $21.14 $38.87 $79.50 $184.09 $559.04
2026-11-01 $7.33 $11.98 $20.43 $38.50 $81.50 $198.26 $654.96
2026-11-08 $7.08 $11.78 $20.53 $39.87 $88.09 $228.21 $843.01
2026-11-15 $6.79 $11.48 $20.41 $40.76 $93.74 $257.88 $1,064.63
2026-11-22 $6.41 $10.98 $19.84 $40.52 $96.28 $278.57 $1,267.33
2026-11-29 $6.14 $10.65 $19.58 $40.96 $100.89 $308.91 $1,573.55
2026-12-06 $5.93 $10.43 $19.49 $41.83 $107.03 $348.38 $2,016.60
2026-12-13 $5.83 $10.41 $19.87 $43.92 $117.58 $412.40 $2,814.32
2026-12-20 $5.53 $9.98 $19.29 $43.43 $119.65 $440.58 $3,364.27
2026-12-27 $5.33 $9.72 $19.06 $43.86 $124.99 $488.08 $4,295.38
2027-01-03 $5.08 $9.36 $18.57 $43.49 $127.49 $523.18 $5,220.97
2027-01-10 $4.74 $8.77 $17.50 $41.35 $122.96 $517.86 $5,530.69
2027-01-17 $4.55 $8.48 $17.12 $41.15 $125.78 $556.87 $6,808.23
2027-01-24 $4.35 $8.17 $16.68 $40.75 $127.97 $595.51 $8,384.56
2027-01-31 $4.27 $8.12 $16.85 $42.22 $138.21 $696.18 $12,443.03

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.