IONQ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$38.41

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$41.81

Bear 68%

$17.18

Bull 68%

$124.72

68% Range Width

257.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $26.05 $29.41 $33.13 $37.57 $42.76 $48.65 $55.87
2026-10-04 $20.97 $25.40 $30.75 $37.77 $46.80 $58.20 $73.89
2026-10-11 $17.51 $22.36 $28.61 $37.40 $49.68 $66.59 $92.26
2026-10-18 $14.63 $19.43 $25.95 $35.63 $50.05 $71.35 $106.52
2026-10-25 $12.95 $17.81 $24.69 $35.43 $52.38 $79.14 $126.95
2026-11-01 $11.68 $16.55 $23.70 $35.36 $54.75 $87.28 $149.88
2026-11-08 $10.96 $15.97 $23.60 $36.60 $59.34 $99.91 $184.28
2026-11-15 $10.26 $15.32 $23.29 $37.39 $63.23 $112.05 $221.33
2026-11-22 $9.45 $14.41 $22.43 $37.09 $65.06 $120.62 $253.49
2026-11-29 $8.86 $13.79 $21.96 $37.38 $68.04 $132.07 $296.05
2026-12-06 $8.41 $13.34 $21.73 $38.07 $71.86 $146.17 $350.38
2026-12-13 $8.16 $13.21 $22.03 $39.79 $78.12 $167.25 $432.31
2026-12-20 $7.61 $12.51 $21.26 $39.33 $79.73 $178.02 $490.27
2026-12-27 $7.22 $12.06 $20.90 $39.69 $83.25 $194.65 $575.64
2027-01-03 $6.78 $11.49 $20.26 $39.35 $85.11 $207.44 $655.23
2027-01-10 $6.21 $10.64 $18.98 $37.48 $82.89 $208.31 $691.32
2027-01-17 $5.88 $10.20 $18.49 $37.28 $84.84 $221.95 $786.89
2027-01-24 $5.59 $9.82 $18.07 $37.21 $87.12 $237.34 $900.78
2027-01-31 $5.46 $9.74 $18.25 $38.52 $93.43 $267.80 $1,109.55
2027-02-07 $5.29 $9.56 $18.22 $39.36 $98.59 $296.29 $1,335.38
2027-02-14 $5.04 $9.20 $17.76 $39.04 $100.32 $313.18 $1,512.75
2027-02-21 $4.86 $8.96 $17.55 $39.36 $104.06 $339.18 $1,775.62
2027-02-28 $4.72 $8.81 $17.51 $40.08 $109.27 $373.25 $2,137.72
2027-03-07 $4.66 $8.83 $17.86 $41.91 $118.52 $428.75 $2,750.78
2027-03-14 $4.44 $8.49 $17.37 $41.43 $120.04 $451.32 $3,132.57
2027-03-21 $4.29 $8.29 $17.18 $41.81 $124.72 $491.64 $3,768.25

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.