IonQ price forecast: what the model says

IONQ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$35.75

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$42.95

Bear 68%

$18.14

Bull 68%

$117.89

68% Range Width

232.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $26.31 $29.58 $33.17 $37.42 $42.31 $47.80 $54.43
2026-11-29 $21.71 $26.19 $31.52 $38.40 $47.09 $57.82 $72.19
2026-12-06 $18.71 $23.83 $30.33 $39.30 $51.53 $67.88 $91.81
2026-12-13 $16.92 $22.53 $30.05 $41.06 $57.09 $80.09 $116.56
2026-12-20 $14.96 $20.65 $28.62 $40.85 $59.65 $88.30 $137.00
2026-12-27 $13.60 $19.38 $27.77 $41.24 $62.99 $98.06 $161.69
2027-01-03 $12.29 $17.99 $26.55 $40.80 $64.85 $105.60 $184.08
2027-01-10 $10.81 $16.17 $24.44 $38.64 $63.46 $107.31 $196.13
2027-01-17 $9.96 $15.22 $23.57 $38.35 $65.19 $114.70 $220.52
2027-01-24 $9.27 $14.47 $22.92 $38.34 $67.36 $123.21 $249.06
2027-01-31 $8.87 $14.14 $22.93 $39.47 $71.78 $136.82 $291.90
2027-02-07 $8.52 $13.85 $22.97 $40.64 $76.44 $151.69 $341.55
2027-02-14 $7.97 $13.18 $22.29 $40.42 $78.34 $161.28 $381.68
2027-02-21 $7.55 $12.71 $21.93 $40.78 $81.54 $174.45 $435.23
2027-02-28 $7.22 $12.36 $21.77 $41.50 $85.63 $190.56 $502.25
2027-03-07 $7.05 $12.29 $22.11 $43.30 $92.45 $214.81 $602.02
2027-03-14 $6.65 $11.77 $21.52 $43.04 $94.41 $227.07 $668.83
2027-03-21 $6.36 $11.42 $21.25 $43.45 $98.05 $244.65 $760.41
2027-03-28 $6.01 $10.92 $20.62 $42.98 $99.41 $256.18 $835.35
2027-04-04 $5.51 $10.10 $19.26 $40.68 $95.71 $252.25 $850.83
2027-04-11 $5.24 $9.72 $18.78 $40.37 $97.26 $264.46 $935.42
2027-04-18 $5.01 $9.41 $18.44 $40.36 $99.61 $279.75 $1,040.06
2027-04-25 $4.91 $9.33 $18.58 $41.56 $105.56 $308.21 $1,217.66
2027-05-02 $4.80 $9.26 $18.74 $42.81 $111.87 $339.65 $1,427.97
2027-05-09 $4.59 $8.94 $18.32 $42.57 $113.86 $357.00 $1,581.04
2027-05-16 $4.43 $8.72 $18.14 $42.95 $117.89 $383.20 $1,800.52

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.