INTC SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$102.60

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$115.82

Bear 68%

$67.39

Bull 68%

$228.07

68% Range Width

138.7%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $79.65 $86.38 $93.59 $101.91 $111.27 $121.52 $133.65
2026-10-04 $70.59 $80.28 $91.36 $105.09 $121.81 $141.73 $167.61
2026-10-11 $63.40 $74.16 $86.96 $103.54 $124.77 $151.53 $188.60
2026-10-18 $59.13 $70.78 $85.12 $104.38 $130.16 $164.32 $214.55
2026-10-25 $54.60 $66.54 $81.60 $102.45 $131.35 $171.25 $232.96
2026-11-01 $52.24 $64.77 $80.99 $104.11 $137.31 $185.16 $263.23
2026-11-08 $49.47 $62.21 $79.04 $103.63 $140.04 $194.46 $287.60
2026-11-15 $46.81 $59.58 $76.75 $102.39 $141.38 $201.64 $309.39
2026-11-22 $44.27 $56.95 $74.26 $100.60 $141.62 $206.96 $328.63
2026-11-29 $42.86 $55.77 $73.70 $101.57 $146.15 $219.64 $363.15
2026-12-06 $41.85 $55.08 $73.78 $103.45 $152.26 $235.64 $406.92
2026-12-13 $41.00 $54.55 $74.03 $105.58 $158.91 $253.36 $457.78
2026-12-20 $39.97 $53.76 $73.88 $107.17 $164.97 $271.19 $514.01
2026-12-27 $39.37 $53.55 $74.62 $110.26 $174.03 $296.16 $593.65
2027-01-03 $37.71 $51.67 $72.65 $108.64 $174.35 $303.71 $632.87
2027-01-10 $36.74 $50.79 $72.18 $109.54 $179.40 $321.75 $704.62
2027-01-17 $35.21 $48.96 $70.10 $107.47 $178.55 $326.97 $742.65
2027-01-24 $34.58 $48.51 $70.20 $109.24 $185.38 $350.28 $841.63
2027-01-31 $33.53 $47.35 $69.09 $108.73 $187.55 $363.21 $913.28
2027-02-07 $32.40 $46.00 $67.59 $107.41 $187.91 $371.83 $973.99
2027-02-14 $31.22 $44.54 $65.83 $105.50 $186.84 $376.80 $1,023.97
2027-02-21 $30.65 $44.03 $65.65 $106.53 $192.18 $398.93 $1,148.25
2027-02-28 $30.28 $43.83 $65.98 $108.55 $199.89 $428.79 $1,320.53
2027-03-07 $29.97 $43.71 $66.43 $110.82 $208.43 $462.76 $1,533.99
2027-03-14 $29.53 $43.37 $66.54 $112.51 $216.07 $496.66 $1,778.64
2027-03-21 $29.34 $43.45 $67.39 $115.82 $228.07 $547.12 $2,164.89

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.