HUT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$106.30

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$153.72

Bear 68%

$49.55

Bull 68%

$564.69

68% Range Width

335.1%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $65.76 $77.22 $90.33 $106.48 $125.91 $148.63 $177.34
2026-08-09 $51.72 $65.80 $83.41 $107.22 $138.86 $179.85 $237.58
2026-08-16 $42.95 $58.25 $78.80 $108.80 $152.09 $213.25 $307.92
2026-08-23 $36.33 $51.96 $74.24 $108.95 $162.74 $244.73 $382.76
2026-08-30 $31.63 $47.35 $70.98 $109.95 $174.29 $279.37 $470.53
2026-09-06 $28.33 $44.18 $69.16 $112.54 $188.49 $320.76 $579.70
2026-09-13 $25.72 $41.62 $67.76 $115.37 $203.35 $366.08 $707.62
2026-09-20 $24.06 $40.32 $68.15 $121.22 $224.54 $427.25 $883.27
2026-09-27 $22.57 $39.06 $68.35 $126.62 $245.83 $493.22 $1,088.26
2026-10-04 $21.45 $38.26 $69.21 $133.36 $271.02 $572.90 $1,349.02
2026-10-11 $19.58 $35.83 $66.66 $132.80 $280.71 $620.82 $1,547.77
2026-10-18 $17.71 $33.16 $63.26 $129.91 $284.59 $656.18 $1,725.18
2026-10-25 $16.08 $30.86 $60.52 $128.47 $292.85 $707.49 $1,975.61
2026-11-01 $14.78 $29.06 $58.58 $128.56 $304.99 $772.54 $2,295.08
2026-11-08 $13.75 $27.70 $57.34 $130.07 $321.14 $853.39 $2,701.26
2026-11-15 $12.73 $26.20 $55.60 $130.05 $333.39 $927.14 $3,119.11
2026-11-22 $11.89 $25.01 $54.40 $131.15 $349.05 $1,016.15 $3,637.54
2026-11-29 $11.27 $24.22 $53.99 $134.26 $371.28 $1,133.19 $4,328.81
2026-12-06 $10.72 $23.52 $53.72 $137.67 $395.39 $1,264.91 $5,159.18
2026-12-13 $10.41 $23.36 $54.71 $144.78 $432.96 $1,457.51 $6,387.60
2026-12-20 $10.09 $23.11 $55.46 $151.36 $470.81 $1,666.13 $7,843.22
2026-12-27 $9.85 $23.04 $56.67 $159.58 $516.70 $1,925.38 $9,768.35
2027-01-03 $9.25 $21.97 $55.07 $158.90 $530.95 $2,060.84 $11,101.75
2027-01-10 $8.58 $20.68 $52.70 $155.37 $533.87 $2,149.33 $12,225.23
2027-01-17 $7.99 $19.57 $50.82 $153.62 $545.30 $2,291.52 $13,901.86
2027-01-24 $7.51 $18.70 $49.55 $153.72 $564.69 $2,483.58 $16,148.87

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.