HPE SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$57.93

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$82.66

Bear 68%

$46.84

Bull 68%

$191.96

68% Range Width

175.6%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $44.05 $47.97 $52.27 $57.37 $63.28 $69.99 $78.27
2026-10-04 $39.82 $44.87 $50.73 $58.12 $67.34 $78.69 $94.09
2026-10-11 $37.38 $43.09 $49.97 $59.02 $70.94 $86.57 $109.49
2026-10-18 $35.10 $41.19 $48.73 $59.03 $73.21 $92.84 $123.77
2026-10-25 $32.61 $38.74 $46.50 $57.38 $72.84 $95.16 $132.40
2026-11-01 $31.95 $38.54 $47.10 $59.51 $77.91 $106.01 $156.81
2026-11-08 $31.12 $38.04 $47.22 $60.90 $81.99 $115.92 $182.29
2026-11-15 $30.38 $37.56 $47.30 $62.21 $86.04 $126.41 $212.10
2026-11-22 $29.63 $37.03 $47.24 $63.26 $89.75 $136.93 $245.83
2026-11-29 $29.02 $36.63 $47.32 $64.49 $93.89 $149.00 $288.41
2026-12-06 $28.86 $36.85 $48.30 $67.22 $100.97 $168.44 $361.31
2026-12-13 $28.27 $36.40 $48.25 $68.23 $105.05 $182.59 $429.25
2026-12-20 $27.24 $35.34 $47.31 $67.87 $106.90 $193.24 $499.20
2026-12-27 $26.56 $34.76 $47.06 $68.68 $111.17 $211.07 $620.35
2027-01-03 $26.05 $34.38 $47.08 $69.94 $116.56 $233.74 $806.71
2027-01-10 $25.30 $33.62 $46.44 $69.91 $119.20 $249.93 $999.01
2027-01-17 $24.20 $32.25 $44.73 $67.78 $116.83 $250.45 $1,083.46
2027-01-24 $24.11 $32.44 $45.59 $70.54 $126.12 $291.99 $1,733.75
2027-01-31 $23.84 $32.33 $45.95 $72.37 $133.61 $332.32 $2,867.99
2027-02-07 $23.56 $32.20 $46.24 $74.08 $141.20 $378.75 $5,550.76
2027-02-14 $23.24 $31.97 $46.36 $75.46 $148.24 $429.11 $14,146.27
2027-02-21 $22.97 $31.82 $46.59 $77.09 $156.38 $493.51 $129,825.03
2027-02-28 $23.00 $32.15 $47.68 $80.71 $171.40 $618.34 N/A
2027-03-07 $22.69 $31.91 $47.75 $82.06 $179.86 $717.78 N/A
2027-03-14 $22.09 $31.19 $46.96 $81.58 $183.04 $791.01 N/A
2027-03-21 $21.71 $30.84 $46.84 $82.66 $191.96 $941.93 N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.