HOOD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$104.00

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$102.13

Bear 68%

$48.13

Bull 68%

$287.94

68% Range Width

234.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $69.71 $78.33 $88.02 $99.78 $113.80 $130.09 $150.69
2026-08-09 $56.61 $67.21 $80.06 $97.07 $119.41 $148.35 $189.79
2026-08-16 $50.83 $62.95 $78.56 $100.72 $132.32 $177.47 $250.26
2026-08-23 $44.83 $57.18 $73.80 $98.62 $136.35 $194.57 $298.33
2026-08-30 $40.43 $52.83 $70.12 $97.08 $140.37 $211.97 $352.21
2026-09-06 $37.48 $50.05 $68.14 $97.52 $147.23 $235.29 $425.43
2026-09-13 $36.74 $50.27 $70.49 $104.90 $166.91 $286.53 $580.29
2026-09-20 $35.26 $49.20 $70.67 $108.65 $180.84 $331.02 $747.20
2026-09-27 $33.90 $48.15 $70.70 $112.07 $194.81 $380.29 $963.77
2026-10-04 $33.01 $47.74 $71.68 $117.27 $213.51 $447.64 $1,302.19
2026-10-11 $30.72 $44.85 $68.19 $113.55 $212.29 $464.31 $1,473.15
2026-10-18 $28.23 $41.47 $63.55 $107.05 $203.66 $458.25 $1,544.68
2026-10-25 $26.19 $38.77 $59.97 $102.44 $199.09 $464.08 $1,691.87
2026-11-01 $24.60 $36.71 $57.39 $99.57 $198.23 $481.35 $1,929.16
2026-11-08 $24.09 $36.44 $58.00 $103.33 $214.55 $560.84 $2,700.09
2026-11-15 $22.83 $34.80 $55.94 $101.15 $215.15 $587.43 $3,178.64
2026-11-22 $21.76 $33.41 $54.24 $99.55 $217.01 $620.12 $3,820.69
2026-11-29 $21.03 $32.57 $53.50 $100.02 $224.73 $680.50 $5,009.25
2026-12-06 $21.15 $33.26 $55.77 $107.66 $255.51 $863.18 $9,319.28
2026-12-13 $20.83 $33.13 $56.41 $111.53 $276.15 $1,020.00 $15,959.36
2026-12-20 $20.49 $32.93 $56.87 $115.08 $296.98 $1,202.30 $29,716.44
2026-12-27 $20.32 $33.04 $57.99 $120.48 $326.31 $1,478.90 $75,216.91
2027-01-03 $19.36 $31.59 $55.70 $116.62 $320.50 $1,504.81 $101,119.88
2027-01-10 $18.22 $29.73 $52.44 $109.88 $302.45 $1,425.30 $98,787.29
2027-01-17 $17.26 $28.22 $49.93 $105.11 $291.86 $1,405.61 $117,899.64
2027-01-24 $16.50 $27.08 $48.13 $102.13 $287.94 $1,440.21 $175,231.69

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.