HOOD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$109.76

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$122.08

Bear 68%

$57.74

Bull 68%

$323.31

68% Range Width

217.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $79.22 $88.48 $98.72 $110.96 $125.25 $141.52 $161.57
2026-10-04 $68.18 $80.70 $95.66 $115.10 $140.04 $171.47 $214.87
2026-10-11 $57.93 $71.36 $88.31 $111.72 $143.94 $187.90 $254.54
2026-10-18 $49.59 $62.89 $80.35 $105.60 $142.30 $195.65 $283.04
2026-10-25 $43.70 $56.74 $74.42 $101.00 $141.48 $203.67 $312.95
2026-11-01 $39.72 $52.65 $70.73 $98.85 $143.57 $216.01 $352.33
2026-11-08 $37.99 $51.48 $70.93 $102.36 $154.76 $244.87 $428.57
2026-11-15 $35.22 $48.52 $68.13 $100.75 $157.18 $258.87 $480.21
2026-11-22 $33.05 $46.23 $66.10 $100.05 $160.89 $275.77 $542.94
2026-11-29 $31.46 $44.67 $65.01 $100.74 $167.11 $298.59 $626.77
2026-12-06 $31.25 $45.19 $67.26 $107.36 $185.38 $350.00 $802.52
2026-12-13 $30.34 $44.54 $67.49 $110.38 $197.09 $390.16 $968.19
2026-12-20 $29.43 $43.85 $67.67 $113.49 $209.89 $437.23 $1,185.48
2026-12-27 $28.86 $43.67 $68.72 $118.38 $227.53 $501.97 $1,510.81
2027-01-03 $27.09 $41.35 $65.77 $115.06 $226.12 $516.06 $1,656.41
2027-01-10 $25.04 $38.44 $61.56 $108.76 $216.81 $505.90 $1,695.26
2027-01-17 $23.39 $36.10 $58.26 $104.00 $210.58 $503.49 $1,770.79
2027-01-24 $22.20 $34.53 $56.25 $101.77 $210.21 $518.80 $1,946.28
2027-01-31 $21.88 $34.44 $56.97 $105.41 $225.22 $587.16 $2,474.56
2027-02-07 $20.92 $33.16 $55.34 $103.75 $226.17 $609.63 $2,766.21
2027-02-14 $20.13 $32.15 $54.18 $103.01 $229.52 $641.85 $3,168.99
2027-02-21 $19.57 $31.51 $53.69 $103.73 $237.03 $692.26 $3,791.59
2027-02-28 $19.70 $32.15 $55.75 $110.61 $263.64 $829.76 $5,497.74
2027-03-07 $19.41 $32.00 $56.22 $113.75 $279.92 $933.94 $7,261.99
2027-03-14 $19.11 $31.81 $56.65 $116.98 $297.79 $1,058.83 $9,931.64
2027-03-21 $18.97 $31.94 $57.74 $122.08 $323.31 $1,241.51 $14,918.38

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.