HIVE SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$3.00

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$2.93

Bear 68%

$1.19

Bull 68%

$8.14

68% Range Width

237.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $2.06 $2.31 $2.59 $2.92 $3.29 $3.71 $4.21
2026-10-04 $1.66 $2.00 $2.40 $2.91 $3.55 $4.33 $5.35
2026-10-11 $1.38 $1.76 $2.23 $2.87 $3.74 $4.86 $6.47
2026-10-18 $1.14 $1.52 $2.02 $2.74 $3.75 $5.17 $7.34
2026-10-25 $0.9917 $1.37 $1.89 $2.67 $3.85 $5.58 $8.39
2026-11-01 $0.8662 $1.23 $1.76 $2.59 $3.89 $5.90 $9.35
2026-11-08 $0.8073 $1.19 $1.75 $2.67 $4.18 $6.63 $11.09
2026-11-15 $0.7553 $1.14 $1.74 $2.74 $4.46 $7.38 $12.99
2026-11-22 $0.6924 $1.07 $1.67 $2.72 $4.58 $7.88 $14.53
2026-11-29 $0.6394 $1.01 $1.62 $2.71 $4.71 $8.40 $16.20
2026-12-06 $0.6214 $1.01 $1.65 $2.85 $5.14 $9.54 $19.32
2026-12-13 $0.5952 $0.9863 $1.66 $2.94 $5.47 $10.54 $22.36
2026-12-20 $0.5476 $0.9263 $1.59 $2.90 $5.57 $11.14 $24.76
2026-12-27 $0.5120 $0.8844 $1.55 $2.91 $5.79 $12.03 $28.10
2027-01-03 $0.4736 $0.8338 $1.50 $2.88 $5.89 $12.71 $31.10
2027-01-10 $0.4274 $0.7644 $1.40 $2.74 $5.77 $12.82 $32.67
2027-01-17 $0.3946 $0.7174 $1.34 $2.68 $5.80 $13.31 $35.41
2027-01-24 $0.3629 $0.6697 $1.27 $2.60 $5.76 $13.63 $37.78
2027-01-31 $0.3509 $0.6593 $1.27 $2.68 $6.13 $15.06 $43.94
2027-02-07 $0.3386 $0.6472 $1.28 $2.75 $6.48 $16.53 $50.71
2027-02-14 $0.3195 $0.6196 $1.24 $2.73 $6.60 $17.39 $55.74
2027-02-21 $0.3024 $0.5947 $1.21 $2.72 $6.74 $18.32 $61.34
2027-02-28 $0.2990 $0.5983 $1.24 $2.86 $7.33 $20.73 $73.50
2027-03-07 $0.2912 $0.5918 $1.25 $2.95 $7.77 $22.81 $85.22
2027-03-14 $0.2735 $0.5634 $1.21 $2.91 $7.87 $23.88 $93.54
2027-03-21 $0.2603 $0.5442 $1.19 $2.93 $8.14 $25.62 $105.96

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.