Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 4.928877 5.395578 5.870560 6.389245 6.938801 7.502835 8.124587
2026-06-21 4.223233 4.902829 5.621533 6.434776 7.325987 8.269614 9.340917
2026-06-28 3.845976 4.659826 5.544486 6.570627 7.721189 8.964822 10.403945
2026-07-05 3.479917 4.381037 5.384691 6.574126 7.933984 9.429380 11.187197
2026-07-12 3.162885 4.125714 5.222250 6.547056 8.087910 9.807892 11.857081
2026-07-19 2.788451 3.773307 4.920791 6.334264 8.006383 9.900316 12.186150
2026-07-26 2.506716 3.511248 4.706742 6.205654 8.006135 10.072046 12.593945
2026-08-02 2.306158 3.334694 4.582647 6.172367 8.107896 10.354052 13.123078
2026-08-09 2.197627 3.265867 4.583522 6.284572 8.378999 10.832276 13.880971
2026-08-16 2.088401 3.188321 4.567072 6.370040 8.613839 11.265315 14.585198
2026-08-23 1.970552 3.091773 4.520165 6.412068 8.791442 11.627343 15.204091
2026-08-30 1.857095 2.994080 4.465877 6.439684 8.947370 11.960818 15.787866
2026-09-06 1.755858 2.912907 4.435802 6.504449 9.159906 12.377467 16.492181
2026-09-13 1.652889 2.823952 4.391683 6.548873 9.346650 12.764534 17.165314
2026-09-20 1.593319 2.792298 4.420930 6.686530 9.650397 13.295962 18.016443
2026-09-27 1.490831 2.692133 4.351887 6.690059 9.779215 13.608403 18.598296
2026-10-04 1.385881 2.581804 4.263306 6.662661 9.864314 13.863745 19.108505
2026-10-11 1.228871 2.382808 4.041777 6.447263 9.696838 13.794822 19.210352
2026-10-18 1.111042 2.236321 3.887610 6.317065 9.635425 13.855570 19.470537
2026-10-25 1.030251 2.143264 3.806082 6.283366 9.699024 14.073977 19.928238
2026-11-01 0.995773 2.123301 3.830331 6.396958 9.960072 14.547448 20.711192
2026-11-08 0.956156 2.092294 3.836303 6.483479 10.184201 14.973766 21.435989
2026-11-15 0.907651 2.043228 3.812719 6.526022 10.347565 15.321035 22.060897