GREE SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$2.11

Base Path by Jan 31, 2027

$1.73

Bear 68%

$0.9382

Bull 68%

$3.93

68% Range Width

173.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-09 $1.50 $1.67 $1.86 $2.08 $2.35 $2.67 $3.06
2026-08-16 $1.26 $1.48 $1.74 $2.08 $2.53 $3.11 $3.94
2026-08-23 $1.09 $1.33 $1.62 $2.02 $2.58 $3.37 $4.61
2026-08-30 $0.9834 $1.22 $1.53 $1.98 $2.63 $3.62 $5.31
2026-09-06 $0.9056 $1.15 $1.47 $1.96 $2.71 $3.91 $6.15
2026-09-13 $0.8697 $1.12 $1.48 $2.03 $2.93 $4.47 $7.63
2026-09-20 $0.8299 $1.09 $1.46 $2.07 $3.10 $4.97 $9.22
2026-09-27 $0.7887 $1.05 $1.44 $2.08 $3.22 $5.41 $10.87
2026-10-04 $0.7637 $1.03 $1.44 $2.13 $3.43 $6.08 $13.44
2026-10-11 $0.7199 $0.9833 $1.38 $2.09 $3.45 $6.35 $15.07
2026-10-18 $0.6696 $0.9204 $1.31 $2.00 $3.35 $6.32 $15.80
2026-10-25 $0.6272 $0.8673 $1.24 $1.92 $3.26 $6.33 $16.65
2026-11-01 $0.5987 $0.8351 $1.21 $1.90 $3.31 $6.67 $19.05
2026-11-08 $0.5757 $0.8102 $1.19 $1.89 $3.39 $7.13 $22.43
2026-11-15 $0.5460 $0.7729 $1.14 $1.84 $3.35 $7.26 $24.51
2026-11-22 $0.5211 $0.7421 $1.10 $1.80 $3.34 $7.47 $27.26
2026-11-29 $0.5021 $0.7197 $1.08 $1.79 $3.38 $7.86 $31.57
2026-12-06 $0.4968 $0.7198 $1.09 $1.85 $3.62 $8.97 $42.97
2026-12-13 $0.4872 $0.7118 $1.09 $1.88 $3.80 $9.93 $56.47
2026-12-20 $0.4747 $0.6984 $1.08 $1.89 $3.91 $10.74 $71.86
2026-12-27 $0.4685 $0.6953 $1.09 $1.94 $4.14 $12.15 $104.06
2027-01-03 $0.4514 $0.6725 $1.06 $1.90 $4.13 $12.49 $122.16
2027-01-10 $0.4293 $0.6404 $1.01 $1.82 $3.96 $12.11 $123.31
2027-01-17 $0.4100 $0.6125 $0.9703 $1.75 $3.83 $11.84 $127.05
2027-01-24 $0.3976 $0.5965 $0.9508 $1.73 $3.86 $12.39 $159.15
2027-01-31 $0.3875 $0.5844 $0.9382 $1.73 $3.93 $13.23 $216.97

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.