GREE SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$2.65

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$2.32

Bear 68%

$1.09

Bull 68%

$5.40

68% Range Width

185.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $1.94 $2.19 $2.47 $2.80 $3.18 $3.61 $4.13
2026-08-09 $1.55 $1.88 $2.26 $2.76 $3.38 $4.14 $5.15
2026-08-16 $1.34 $1.70 $2.15 $2.76 $3.58 $4.65 $6.18
2026-08-23 $1.16 $1.53 $2.01 $2.70 $3.66 $4.99 $7.00
2026-08-30 $1.02 $1.39 $1.88 $2.62 $3.69 $5.25 $7.73
2026-09-06 $0.9271 $1.29 $1.81 $2.60 $3.80 $5.62 $8.65
2026-09-13 $0.8729 $1.25 $1.80 $2.66 $4.04 $6.20 $9.99
2026-09-20 $0.8276 $1.21 $1.79 $2.73 $4.28 $6.82 $11.47
2026-09-27 $0.7832 $1.17 $1.77 $2.78 $4.49 $7.41 $12.98
2026-10-04 $0.7609 $1.17 $1.80 $2.91 $4.85 $8.27 $15.13
2026-10-11 $0.6961 $1.09 $1.71 $2.81 $4.80 $8.43 $15.95
2026-10-18 $0.6334 $1.00 $1.60 $2.69 $4.70 $8.45 $16.50
2026-10-25 $0.5797 $0.9311 $1.51 $2.59 $4.63 $8.54 $17.23
2026-11-01 $0.5379 $0.8770 $1.45 $2.53 $4.62 $8.76 $18.27
2026-11-08 $0.5104 $0.8453 $1.42 $2.53 $4.74 $9.24 $19.97
2026-11-15 $0.4762 $0.7992 $1.36 $2.47 $4.73 $9.45 $21.08
2026-11-22 $0.4428 $0.7523 $1.30 $2.40 $4.68 $9.57 $21.98
2026-11-29 $0.4202 $0.7233 $1.27 $2.38 $4.74 $9.94 $23.60
2026-12-06 $0.4096 $0.7153 $1.28 $2.44 $4.98 $10.74 $26.46
2026-12-13 $0.4000 $0.7083 $1.28 $2.50 $5.23 $11.60 $29.67
2026-12-20 $0.3886 $0.6972 $1.28 $2.55 $5.44 $12.40 $32.86
2026-12-27 $0.3856 $0.7019 $1.31 $2.66 $5.83 $13.68 $37.78
2027-01-03 $0.3614 $0.6638 $1.25 $2.57 $5.73 $13.72 $38.88
2027-01-10 $0.3364 $0.6228 $1.19 $2.46 $5.56 $13.54 $39.29
2027-01-17 $0.3144 $0.5870 $1.13 $2.37 $5.44 $13.49 $40.16
2027-01-24 $0.2972 $0.5599 $1.09 $2.32 $5.40 $13.67 $41.86

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.