GOOGL SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$349.57

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$416.14

Bear 68%

$309.93

Bull 68%

$581.48

68% Range Width

65.3%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $303.56 $317.92 $332.59 $348.71 $365.95 $383.85 $403.88
2026-08-09 $286.52 $307.12 $328.85 $353.56 $380.96 $410.50 $444.89
2026-08-16 $274.23 $298.94 $325.65 $356.80 $392.30 $431.70 $479.01
2026-08-23 $261.71 $289.07 $319.21 $355.07 $396.85 $444.33 $502.86
2026-08-30 $249.82 $278.94 $311.52 $350.94 $397.75 $452.03 $520.47
2026-09-06 $242.04 $272.94 $308.00 $351.11 $403.19 $464.75 $544.07
2026-09-13 $234.76 $267.07 $304.19 $350.48 $407.29 $475.63 $565.47
2026-09-20 $230.09 $263.96 $303.37 $353.17 $415.25 $491.24 $593.14
2026-09-27 $227.47 $263.11 $305.08 $358.83 $426.87 $511.63 $627.63
2026-10-04 $222.87 $259.62 $303.35 $360.01 $432.74 $524.74 $652.96
2026-10-11 $221.42 $259.88 $306.14 $366.85 $445.91 $547.61 $692.21
2026-10-18 $221.09 $261.44 $310.51 $375.71 $461.90 $574.69 $738.43
2026-10-25 $217.21 $258.51 $309.22 $377.34 $468.56 $589.76 $769.00
2026-11-01 $215.39 $258.09 $311.05 $383.04 $480.81 $612.85 $812.13
2026-11-08 $212.81 $256.59 $311.40 $386.70 $490.30 $632.41 $851.02
2026-11-15 $208.04 $252.12 $307.71 $384.77 $491.92 $640.80 $873.57
2026-11-22 $202.44 $246.40 $302.20 $380.15 $489.57 $643.30 $887.10
2026-11-29 $199.06 $243.48 $300.29 $380.34 $493.90 $655.55 $916.19
2026-12-06 $195.51 $240.23 $297.81 $379.63 $496.87 $665.81 $942.53
2026-12-13 $193.57 $239.05 $298.05 $382.64 $505.22 $684.31 $982.96
2026-12-20 $192.96 $239.61 $300.63 $388.97 $518.60 $710.88 $1,038.04
2026-12-27 $190.56 $237.68 $299.73 $390.31 $524.56 $726.24 $1,075.23
2027-01-03 $190.52 $238.93 $303.20 $397.97 $540.21 $757.31 $1,141.08
2027-01-10 $191.26 $241.23 $308.16 $407.91 $559.66 $795.26 $1,221.52
2027-01-17 $189.05 $239.49 $307.52 $409.73 $566.88 $814.17 $1,269.90
2027-01-24 $188.41 $239.92 $309.93 $416.14 $581.48 $845.87 $1,344.08

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.