GOOGL SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$346.38

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$446.59

Bear 68%

$308.76

Bull 68%

$689.77

68% Range Width

85.3%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $307.79 $323.52 $339.67 $357.52 $376.72 $396.78 $419.36
2026-10-04 $290.31 $313.43 $338.08 $366.42 $398.22 $432.95 $473.92
2026-10-11 $276.07 $303.77 $334.13 $370.07 $411.70 $458.71 $516.27
2026-10-18 $265.80 $297.00 $331.96 $374.34 $424.76 $483.36 $557.43
2026-10-25 $257.17 $291.12 $329.89 $377.87 $436.30 $505.96 $596.62
2026-11-01 $256.41 $294.05 $337.83 $393.18 $462.19 $546.71 $660.11
2026-11-08 $245.94 $284.72 $330.47 $389.19 $463.73 $556.89 $684.88
2026-11-15 $237.06 $276.81 $324.29 $386.12 $465.93 $567.57 $710.39
2026-11-22 $228.90 $269.36 $318.26 $382.76 $467.31 $576.90 $734.21
2026-11-29 $222.63 $263.95 $314.44 $381.90 $471.68 $590.12 $763.77
2026-12-06 $216.52 $258.48 $310.26 $380.28 $474.77 $601.49 $791.11
2026-12-13 $212.86 $255.92 $309.64 $383.17 $483.90 $621.39 $831.67
2026-12-20 $211.06 $256.37 $313.76 $393.76 $505.75 $662.67 $910.74
2026-12-27 $208.85 $256.26 $317.22 $403.73 $527.55 $705.76 $997.36
2027-01-03 $204.62 $253.24 $316.59 $407.90 $541.15 $737.57 $1,069.19
2027-01-10 $201.00 $250.83 $316.57 $412.79 $555.91 $771.96 $1,148.46
2027-01-17 $197.36 $248.20 $316.07 $416.85 $569.49 $805.27 $1,229.15
2027-01-24 $198.50 $252.07 $324.67 $434.44 $604.65 $875.59 $1,383.28
2027-01-31 $192.40 $245.70 $318.54 $429.85 $604.84 $888.38 $1,433.15
2027-02-07 $187.02 $240.12 $313.31 $426.32 $606.40 $903.43 $1,488.73
2027-02-14 $181.86 $234.68 $308.05 $422.46 $607.13 $916.93 $1,542.55
2027-02-21 $177.85 $230.73 $304.79 $421.48 $612.43 $938.70 $1,615.46
2027-02-28 $173.80 $226.59 $301.08 $419.61 $616.07 $957.63 $1,684.57
2027-03-07 $171.42 $224.77 $300.72 $422.94 $628.62 $993.64 $1,795.04
2027-03-14 $170.62 $225.66 $305.08 $435.11 $659.13 $1,069.77 $2,017.33
2027-03-21 $169.44 $226.02 $308.76 $446.59 $689.77 $1,150.62 $2,271.63

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.