Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GALA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 1.183524e-03 0.001583 0.002071 0.002709 0.003513 0.004488 0.005752
2026-06-21 7.618046e-04 0.001259 0.001983 0.003089 0.004705 0.006943 0.010229
2026-06-28 4.950741e-04 0.000982 0.001803 0.003228 0.005562 0.009135 0.014882
2026-07-05 3.246985e-04 0.000762 0.001601 0.003226 0.006157 0.011026 0.019448
2026-07-12 2.286471e-04 0.000625 0.001479 0.003299 0.006857 0.013180 0.024778
2026-07-19 1.433729e-04 0.000462 0.001235 0.003051 0.006897 0.014195 0.028356
2026-07-26 9.279730e-05 0.000351 0.001055 0.002866 0.006990 0.015291 0.032215
2026-08-02 6.807355e-05 0.000297 0.000987 0.002905 0.007545 0.017343 0.038135
2026-08-09 5.065226e-05 0.000254 0.000931 0.002949 0.008117 0.019516 0.044594
2026-08-16 3.643951e-05 0.000212 0.000856 0.002921 0.008507 0.021366 0.050655
2026-08-23 2.317001e-05 0.000161 0.000725 0.002691 0.008346 0.021984 0.054241
2026-08-30 1.598034e-05 0.000130 0.000652 0.002603 0.008524 0.023387 0.059688
2026-09-06 1.264099e-05 0.000118 0.000645 0.002733 0.009352 0.026502 0.069464
2026-09-13 1.181581e-05 0.000122 0.000706 0.003120 0.010996 0.031851 0.084994
2026-09-20 9.393977e-06 0.000112 0.000698 0.003261 0.011956 0.035647 0.097381
2026-09-27 6.838288e-06 0.000096 0.000656 0.003259 0.012486 0.038432 0.107721
2026-10-04 5.225926e-06 0.000085 0.000634 0.003333 0.013273 0.042003 0.120388
2026-10-11 3.184208e-06 0.000065 0.000543 0.003083 0.012942 0.042527 0.125596
2026-10-18 1.975540e-06 0.000051 0.000474 0.002895 0.012775 0.043470 0.131980
2026-10-25 1.458636e-06 0.000045 0.000455 0.002935 0.013425 0.046845 0.145069
2026-11-01 1.080020e-06 0.000039 0.000439 0.002980 0.014110 0.050428 0.159107
2026-11-08 7.455084e-07 0.000034 0.000410 0.002951 0.014508 0.053213 0.171307
2026-11-15 4.154251e-07 0.000025 0.000350 0.002719 0.014049 0.053300 0.176126