FORM SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$106.50

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$164.88

Bear 68%

$54.30

Bull 68%

N/A

68% Range Width

N/A

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $69.87 $79.09 $90.48 $106.15 $128.20 $160.28 $216.23
2026-10-04 $57.54 $68.19 $82.76 $105.89 $146.38 $230.89 $561.72
2026-10-11 $50.81 $61.89 $78.07 $106.48 $166.08 $354.98 N/A
2026-10-18 $45.82 $56.74 $73.33 $104.44 $179.30 $554.81 N/A
2026-10-25 $42.84 $53.88 $71.32 $106.33 $205.23 $1,560.35 N/A
2026-11-01 $41.19 $52.69 $71.66 $113.02 $259.49 N/A N/A
2026-11-08 $39.15 $50.59 $69.97 $114.52 $302.11 N/A N/A
2026-11-15 $37.38 $48.69 $68.29 $115.41 $351.15 N/A N/A
2026-11-22 $35.44 $46.34 $65.40 $112.17 $367.97 N/A N/A
2026-11-29 $34.10 $44.85 $63.95 $112.47 $425.87 N/A N/A
2026-12-06 $33.48 $44.50 $64.65 $119.32 $649.92 N/A N/A
2026-12-13 $32.79 $43.95 $64.85 $124.90 $1,130.39 N/A N/A
2026-12-20 $31.72 $42.83 $64.08 $128.47 $3,152.19 N/A N/A
2026-12-27 $30.51 $41.41 $62.53 $128.96 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-03 $29.46 $40.17 $61.23 $130.01 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-10 $28.31 $38.68 $59.16 $127.04 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-17 $27.56 $37.85 $58.48 $129.84 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-24 $27.18 $37.65 $59.22 $139.87 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-31 $26.50 $36.86 $58.43 $142.15 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-07 $25.85 $36.07 $57.54 $143.52 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-14 $25.03 $34.92 $55.68 $138.59 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-21 $24.46 $34.19 $54.80 $139.03 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-28 $24.22 $34.10 $55.46 $149.57 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-07 $23.92 $33.86 $55.73 $158.36 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-14 $23.43 $33.31 $55.32 $164.08 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-21 $22.83 $32.54 $54.30 $164.88 N/A N/A N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.