Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 4.060785e-02 5.241359e-02 0.065963 0.082490 0.101928 0.123888 0.150390
2026-06-21 2.527988e-02 3.940244e-02 0.057788 0.082749 0.114993 0.154479 0.205672
2026-06-28 1.511774e-02 2.906441e-02 0.049804 0.081066 0.125061 0.182827 0.262274
2026-07-05 8.857792e-03 2.158536e-02 0.043391 0.079818 0.135306 0.212760 0.324733
2026-07-12 4.794313e-03 1.551781e-02 0.037033 0.076979 0.142666 0.239690 0.386334
2026-07-19 2.150187e-03 1.017625e-02 0.029705 0.070494 0.143165 0.256757 0.435999
2026-07-26 1.067662e-03 7.537986e-03 0.026421 0.070072 0.153067 0.288646 0.509675
2026-08-02 4.139367e-04 5.123431e-03 0.022292 0.066741 0.157261 0.311929 0.572377
2026-08-09 1.471795e-04 3.630905e-03 0.019581 0.065488 0.164829 0.341212 0.646363
2026-08-16 2.625256e-05 2.216509e-03 0.015858 0.060560 0.164348 0.356716 0.699523
2026-08-23 8.287280e-07 1.183294e-03 0.012183 0.054156 0.159446 0.363688 0.738969
2026-08-30 NaN 6.169386e-04 0.009578 0.049441 0.157012 0.374494 0.785116
2026-09-06 NaN 4.706863e-04 0.009463 0.053123 0.175701 0.429003 0.914058
2026-09-13 NaN 2.888005e-04 0.008570 0.053896 0.187963 0.472913 1.028457
2026-09-20 NaN 1.476309e-04 0.007398 0.053087 0.196370 0.510427 1.134675
2026-09-27 NaN 6.856887e-05 0.006411 0.052468 0.205237 0.549853 1.247135
2026-10-04 NaN 2.301952e-05 0.005313 0.050596 0.210416 0.582286 1.349064
2026-10-11 NaN 2.813114e-06 0.003931 0.046005 0.206894 0.596069 1.417413
2026-10-18 NaN 3.370585e-07 0.003419 0.045792 0.216109 0.637888 1.540465
2026-10-25 NaN 7.303773e-12 0.002697 0.043436 0.218201 0.664161 1.635285
2026-11-01 NaN NaN 0.002259 0.042572 0.224886 0.701287 1.752951
2026-11-08 NaN NaN 0.001627 0.039041 0.221725 0.715411 1.826203
2026-11-15 NaN NaN 0.001047 0.034468 0.213430 0.716406 1.873113