DELL SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$563.58

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$1,010.19

Bear 68%

$499.22

Bull 68%

$2,544.80

68% Range Width

202.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $420.01 $463.64 $511.30 $567.49 $632.22 $704.85 $793.03
2026-10-04 $366.18 $425.63 $495.30 $583.92 $695.03 $831.62 $1,015.26
2026-10-11 $339.61 $406.77 $488.81 $598.13 $742.67 $931.25 $1,202.96
2026-10-18 $308.32 $378.43 $467.06 $589.85 $759.80 $993.50 $1,352.15
2026-10-25 $284.09 $355.46 $448.15 $580.67 $771.11 $1,044.83 $1,488.45
2026-11-01 $272.45 $347.62 $448.01 $596.32 $818.11 $1,152.55 $1,728.56
2026-11-08 $262.91 $341.41 $448.90 $612.56 $866.59 $1,267.64 $2,000.94
2026-11-15 $256.39 $338.61 $453.98 $634.89 $926.38 $1,408.56 $2,347.42
2026-11-22 $241.34 $322.53 $438.42 $624.03 $931.24 $1,457.27 $2,531.37
2026-11-29 $238.67 $323.98 $448.55 $653.79 $1,006.20 $1,639.19 $3,022.33
2026-12-06 $239.70 $330.77 $467.02 $698.44 $1,112.14 $1,896.21 $3,749.77
2026-12-13 $236.70 $331.20 $475.50 $727.10 $1,192.99 $2,119.41 $4,475.20
2026-12-20 $228.48 $323.78 $472.06 $736.99 $1,244.15 $2,300.50 $5,189.64
2026-12-27 $222.93 $320.22 $474.69 $758.10 $1,320.94 $2,556.31 $6,236.04
2027-01-03 $217.96 $317.08 $477.50 $779.37 $1,400.66 $2,837.21 $7,511.30
2027-01-10 $207.46 $304.34 $463.14 $767.07 $1,407.92 $2,944.12 $8,269.00
2027-01-17 $197.79 $292.40 $449.28 $754.30 $1,412.22 $3,044.39 $9,063.90
2027-01-24 $194.44 $290.71 $453.12 $776.39 $1,497.99 $3,385.33 $11,071.29
2027-01-31 $191.41 $289.34 $457.35 $799.58 $1,590.22 $3,773.48 $13,665.26
2027-02-07 $189.71 $290.10 $465.42 $831.49 $1,709.37 $4,284.81 $17,512.42
2027-02-14 $181.68 $279.44 $451.70 $815.95 $1,706.46 $4,403.59 $19,246.60
2027-02-21 $181.66 $282.79 $464.36 $858.63 $1,862.98 $5,124.19 $26,158.15
2027-02-28 $183.97 $290.40 $485.67 $923.15 $2,093.94 $6,239.20 $39,375.84
2027-03-07 $183.27 $292.50 $496.39 $964.84 $2,270.48 $7,247.41 $55,891.38
2027-03-14 $178.87 $288.02 $494.65 $979.28 $2,376.50 $8,051.22 $75,013.43
2027-03-21 $176.17 $286.63 $499.22 $1,010.19 $2,544.80 $9,290.47 $112,450.40

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.