CRWV SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$81.40

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$101.23

Bear 68%

$29.66

Bull 68%

$189.88

68% Range Width

158.3%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $47.80 $58.48 $69.20 $80.70 $92.63 $104.59 $117.46
2026-10-04 $40.11 $55.72 $71.81 $89.39 $107.89 $126.65 $147.02
2026-10-11 $30.33 $49.18 $69.18 $91.44 $115.16 $139.44 $165.97
2026-10-18 $15.15 $34.81 $56.89 $82.18 $109.63 $138.06 $169.40
2026-10-25 $11.54 $33.11 $58.08 $87.04 $118.70 $151.64 $188.07
2026-11-01 $6.62 $28.89 $55.97 $87.92 $123.15 $160.00 $200.90
2026-11-08 $5.90 $30.10 $59.97 $95.39 $134.54 $175.54 $221.09
2026-11-15 $1.87 $25.45 $56.75 $94.54 $136.65 $180.97 $230.36
2026-11-22 N/A $19.69 $51.76 $91.39 $136.02 $183.26 $236.10
2026-11-29 N/A $14.96 $47.58 $88.93 $135.95 $185.97 $242.09
2026-12-06 N/A $12.87 $46.60 $90.04 $139.70 $192.68 $252.22
2026-12-13 N/A $8.09 $41.48 $86.08 $137.66 $193.00 $255.40
2026-12-20 N/A $5.44 $39.35 $86.05 $140.51 $199.15 $265.41
2026-12-27 N/A $7.57 $44.78 $95.16 $153.65 $216.50 $287.44
2027-01-03 N/A $6.20 $44.56 $97.36 $158.93 $225.21 $300.12
2027-01-10 N/A $0.4724 $35.10 $88.01 $150.95 $219.33 $296.99
2027-01-17 N/A $0.6149 $37.25 $92.97 $159.22 $231.17 $312.86
2027-01-24 N/A N/A $36.22 $93.86 $162.76 $237.75 $323.00
2027-01-31 N/A $0.5886 $40.53 $101.46 $173.94 $252.66 $342.06
2027-02-07 N/A N/A $38.18 $100.59 $175.37 $256.82 $349.47
2027-02-14 N/A N/A $34.16 $97.40 $173.97 $257.73 $353.22
2027-02-21 N/A N/A $30.83 $94.90 $173.27 $259.30 $357.58
2027-02-28 N/A N/A $30.30 $96.02 $176.69 $265.38 $366.76
2027-03-07 N/A N/A $26.03 $92.00 $174.05 $264.68 $368.52
2027-03-14 N/A N/A $24.49 $91.97 $176.50 $270.08 $377.43
2027-03-21 N/A N/A $29.66 $101.23 $189.88 $287.64 $399.59

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.