CRWV SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$76.32

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$94.81

Bear 68%

$13.19

Bull 68%

$192.56

68% Range Width

189.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $50.51 $61.95 $73.26 $85.21 $97.45 $109.57 $122.47
2026-08-09 $30.34 $47.14 $64.24 $82.68 $101.82 $121.00 $141.57
2026-08-16 $22.32 $43.52 $65.63 $89.78 $115.07 $140.53 $167.95
2026-08-23 $11.47 $35.33 $61.25 $90.04 $120.44 $151.24 $184.53
2026-08-30 $1.81 $26.27 $55.07 $87.69 $122.49 $157.92 $196.36
2026-09-06 N/A $18.27 $49.25 $85.16 $123.83 $163.40 $206.48
2026-09-13 N/A $13.00 $45.94 $84.96 $127.27 $170.75 $218.16
2026-09-20 N/A $6.69 $40.62 $82.19 $127.69 $174.64 $225.98
2026-09-27 N/A $2.98 $37.87 $82.02 $130.68 $181.02 $236.17
2026-10-04 N/A $5.16 $43.46 $91.13 $143.51 $197.63 $256.87
2026-10-11 N/A $3.26 $42.95 $93.22 $148.64 $205.99 $268.82
2026-10-18 N/A N/A $32.44 $83.65 $140.99 $200.71 $266.36
2026-10-25 N/A N/A $36.86 $91.83 $153.19 $217.03 $287.16
2026-11-01 N/A N/A $31.77 $88.88 $153.27 $220.50 $294.50
2026-11-08 N/A N/A $35.21 $95.88 $164.14 $235.36 $313.72
2026-11-15 N/A N/A $32.92 $96.05 $167.48 $242.15 $324.40
2026-11-22 N/A N/A $28.69 $93.64 $167.79 $245.53 $331.29
2026-11-29 N/A N/A $24.53 $91.07 $167.74 $248.37 $337.45
2026-12-06 N/A N/A $22.42 $90.85 $170.18 $253.75 $346.15
2026-12-13 N/A N/A $18.40 $88.05 $169.64 $255.85 $351.31
2026-12-20 N/A N/A $16.55 $87.88 $171.96 $260.94 $359.53
2026-12-27 N/A N/A $21.96 $97.08 $184.67 $277.08 $379.33
2027-01-03 N/A N/A $21.92 $99.20 $189.42 $284.65 $390.05
2027-01-10 N/A N/A $13.03 $89.52 $180.94 $278.01 $385.72
2027-01-17 N/A N/A $17.28 $97.79 $193.03 $293.91 $405.74
2027-01-24 N/A N/A $13.19 $94.81 $192.56 $296.39 $411.65

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.