Description

This analysis provides a forecast of CRO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.042290 0.048254 0.054797 0.062517 0.071384 0.081260 0.093109
2026-06-21 0.034138 0.042312 0.052082 0.064649 0.080431 0.099652 0.124925
2026-06-28 0.028829 0.037786 0.049131 0.064614 0.085285 0.112065 0.149601
2026-07-05 0.024766 0.033966 0.046178 0.063668 0.088224 0.121697 0.171168
2026-07-12 0.021583 0.030770 0.043471 0.062433 0.090240 0.129860 0.191192
2026-07-19 0.019038 0.028091 0.041063 0.061161 0.091805 0.137238 0.210564
2026-07-26 0.017664 0.026910 0.040607 0.062575 0.097315 0.150780 0.240535
2026-08-02 0.015902 0.024929 0.038710 0.061513 0.098783 0.158117 0.261365
2026-08-09 0.014581 0.023481 0.037454 0.061267 0.101419 0.167425 0.286266
2026-08-16 0.013201 0.021791 0.035633 0.059872 0.101939 0.173188 0.305614
2026-08-23 0.011840 0.019999 0.033465 0.057649 0.100768 0.175862 0.319660
2026-08-30 0.011125 0.019222 0.032912 0.058126 0.104305 0.187005 0.350179
2026-09-06 0.010621 0.018832 0.033096 0.060134 0.111197 0.205612 0.398420
2026-09-13 0.010140 0.018447 0.033272 0.062191 0.118512 0.226041 0.453368
2026-09-20 0.009416 0.017538 0.032397 0.062156 0.121782 0.239048 0.495057
2026-09-27 0.008659 0.016487 0.031148 0.061248 0.123195 0.248491 0.530510
2026-10-04 0.007951 0.015459 0.029836 0.060062 0.123878 0.256476 0.563805
2026-10-11 0.007313 0.014506 0.028578 0.058841 0.124330 0.263976 0.596952
2026-10-18 0.007011 0.014197 0.028565 0.060199 0.130418 0.284227 0.661938
2026-10-25 0.006497 0.013405 0.027493 0.059179 0.131166 0.292764 0.700460
2026-11-01 0.006104 0.012828 0.026814 0.058943 0.133636 0.305453 0.750761
2026-11-08 0.005647 0.012076 0.025693 0.057602 0.133406 0.311829 0.786152
2026-11-15 0.005166 0.011226 0.024287 0.055468 0.131068 0.312912 0.808096