CORZ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$23.47

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$28.58

Bear 68%

$19.93

Bull 68%

$37.89

68% Range Width

62.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $19.47 $20.94 $22.37 $23.87 $25.39 $26.89 $28.47
2026-08-09 $17.57 $19.64 $21.68 $23.82 $26.02 $28.19 $30.50
2026-08-16 $16.52 $19.06 $21.57 $24.23 $26.96 $29.68 $32.58
2026-08-23 $15.73 $18.66 $21.58 $24.68 $27.88 $31.08 $34.49
2026-08-30 $14.93 $18.20 $21.47 $24.97 $28.58 $32.19 $36.07
2026-09-06 $13.87 $17.42 $20.99 $24.82 $28.80 $32.78 $37.07
2026-09-13 $12.94 $16.74 $20.58 $24.72 $29.02 $33.36 $38.02
2026-09-20 $12.86 $16.93 $21.07 $25.53 $30.19 $34.87 $39.93
2026-09-27 $12.34 $16.64 $21.02 $25.77 $30.73 $35.74 $41.15
2026-10-04 $12.26 $16.80 $21.44 $26.48 $31.76 $37.09 $42.85
2026-10-11 $11.68 $16.41 $21.27 $26.55 $32.10 $37.72 $43.79
2026-10-18 $10.51 $15.36 $20.37 $25.86 $31.63 $37.48 $43.83
2026-10-25 $10.16 $15.22 $20.47 $26.24 $32.33 $38.50 $45.21
2026-11-01 $9.48 $14.71 $20.17 $26.18 $32.54 $39.01 $46.04
2026-11-08 $9.20 $14.62 $20.31 $26.59 $33.24 $40.02 $47.39
2026-11-15 $8.99 $14.60 $20.51 $27.05 $33.99 $41.06 $48.76
2026-11-22 $8.66 $14.44 $20.56 $27.34 $34.54 $41.89 $49.90
2026-11-29 $8.03 $13.93 $20.20 $27.19 $34.63 $42.23 $50.52
2026-12-06 $7.46 $13.46 $19.90 $27.08 $34.75 $42.59 $51.16
2026-12-13 $7.60 $13.81 $20.47 $27.91 $35.85 $43.99 $52.87
2026-12-20 $7.32 $13.67 $20.50 $28.16 $36.34 $44.72 $53.88
2026-12-27 $7.40 $13.94 $20.99 $28.89 $37.33 $45.98 $55.44
2027-01-03 $7.02 $13.67 $20.87 $28.96 $37.62 $46.50 $56.22
2027-01-10 $6.11 $12.75 $20.03 $28.24 $37.07 $46.14 $56.07
2027-01-17 $5.92 $12.72 $20.19 $28.64 $37.72 $47.07 $57.31
2027-01-24 $5.43 $12.31 $19.93 $28.58 $37.89 $47.49 $58.01

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.