CORZ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$16.83

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$19.84

Bear 68%

$11.23

Bull 68%

$29.12

68% Range Width

90.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $12.79 $14.16 $15.50 $16.90 $18.32 $19.71 $21.19
2026-10-04 $11.51 $13.48 $15.41 $17.44 $19.51 $21.56 $23.73
2026-10-11 $10.09 $12.51 $14.91 $17.44 $20.03 $22.60 $25.33
2026-10-18 $8.27 $11.04 $13.80 $16.74 $19.77 $22.78 $26.00
2026-10-25 $7.25 $10.33 $13.44 $16.77 $20.21 $23.64 $27.31
2026-11-01 $6.36 $9.73 $13.15 $16.83 $20.64 $24.46 $28.55
2026-11-08 $5.62 $9.24 $12.95 $16.96 $21.13 $25.31 $29.80
2026-11-15 $5.05 $8.91 $12.89 $17.22 $21.73 $26.26 $31.12
2026-11-22 $4.41 $8.47 $12.70 $17.32 $22.14 $27.00 $32.22
2026-11-29 $3.62 $7.84 $12.28 $17.16 $22.27 $27.43 $32.98
2026-12-06 $2.99 $7.36 $12.02 $17.15 $22.54 $27.99 $33.86
2026-12-13 $2.83 $7.41 $12.30 $17.70 $23.39 $29.14 $35.34
2026-12-20 $2.35 $7.08 $12.21 $17.89 $23.88 $29.94 $36.49
2026-12-27 $2.22 $7.16 $12.54 $18.51 $24.82 $31.21 $38.12
2027-01-03 $1.72 $6.77 $12.35 $18.57 $25.16 $31.84 $39.07
2027-01-10 $0.8045 $5.80 $11.50 $17.92 $24.74 $31.67 $39.18
2027-01-17 $0.4206 $5.45 $11.33 $17.98 $25.06 $32.27 $40.08
2027-01-24 $0.1127 $5.14 $11.19 $18.07 $25.40 $32.88 $40.98
2027-01-31 N/A $4.89 $11.12 $18.22 $25.81 $33.54 $41.94
2027-02-07 N/A $4.76 $11.17 $18.49 $26.33 $34.34 $43.03
2027-02-14 N/A $4.51 $11.07 $18.61 $26.69 $34.94 $43.90
2027-02-21 N/A $4.06 $10.73 $18.45 $26.74 $35.23 $44.45
2027-02-28 N/A $3.74 $10.54 $18.45 $26.96 $35.67 $45.15
2027-03-07 N/A $3.87 $10.88 $19.01 $27.77 $36.74 $46.49
2027-03-14 N/A $3.68 $10.85 $19.20 $28.21 $37.43 $47.48
2027-03-21 N/A $3.84 $11.23 $19.84 $29.12 $38.63 $48.97

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.