COIN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$175.20

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$158.78

Bear 68%

$65.84

Bull 68%

$272.69

68% Range Width

130.3%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $128.74 $143.25 $157.57 $172.75 $188.34 $203.86 $220.44
2026-10-04 $103.28 $124.80 $146.52 $169.96 $194.41 $219.07 $245.73
2026-10-11 $82.57 $109.01 $136.31 $166.27 $197.95 $230.24 $265.47
2026-10-18 $62.69 $92.30 $123.68 $158.74 $196.30 $234.97 $277.48
2026-10-25 $47.76 $79.63 $114.34 $153.77 $196.53 $240.92 $290.04
2026-11-01 $36.93 $70.52 $108.16 $151.59 $199.15 $248.88 $304.19
2026-11-08 $31.16 $66.74 $107.50 $155.06 $207.51 $262.60 $324.07
2026-11-15 $26.25 $63.49 $107.11 $158.54 $215.60 $275.76 $343.08
2026-11-22 $19.75 $57.57 $103.26 $157.84 $218.85 $283.48 $356.04
2026-11-29 $15.06 $53.46 $101.25 $158.99 $223.93 $292.98 $370.70
2026-12-06 $12.80 $52.45 $102.80 $164.04 $233.18 $306.85 $389.90
2026-12-13 $10.14 $50.52 $103.07 $167.50 $240.53 $318.54 $406.62
2026-12-20 $5.87 $45.40 $99.33 $166.36 $242.83 $324.83 $417.65
2026-12-27 $2.18 $39.88 $94.81 $164.14 $243.80 $329.58 $426.93
2027-01-03 N/A $33.94 $89.42 $160.72 $243.30 $332.59 $434.22
2027-01-10 N/A $26.08 $80.94 $153.36 $238.15 $330.37 $435.71
2027-01-17 N/A $20.27 $74.73 $148.49 $235.67 $330.96 $440.13
2027-01-24 N/A $16.39 $70.89 $146.35 $236.20 $334.78 $447.98
2027-01-31 N/A $15.61 $71.63 $149.79 $243.10 $345.58 $463.35
2027-02-07 N/A $14.90 $72.42 $153.24 $249.94 $356.27 $478.55
2027-02-14 N/A $12.28 $69.96 $152.54 $251.93 $361.50 $487.71
2027-02-21 N/A $10.69 $69.01 $153.68 $255.98 $368.97 $499.26
2027-02-28 N/A $10.90 $71.13 $158.69 $264.49 $381.38 $516.17
2027-03-07 N/A $10.44 $72.04 $162.11 $271.13 $391.65 $530.69
2027-03-14 N/A $8.01 $69.33 $160.97 $272.55 $396.22 $539.12
2027-03-21 N/A $5.41 $65.84 $158.78 $272.69 $399.34 $545.93

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.