COIN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$170.71

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$162.17

Bear 68%

$66.07

Bull 68%

$280.59

68% Range Width

132.3%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $125.31 $139.84 $154.21 $169.45 $185.11 $200.71 $217.40
2026-08-09 $102.52 $124.14 $145.98 $169.57 $194.20 $219.06 $245.95
2026-08-16 $88.39 $115.57 $143.58 $174.29 $206.73 $239.79 $275.84
2026-08-23 $76.36 $107.93 $141.10 $177.94 $217.26 $257.64 $301.94
2026-08-30 $62.79 $97.44 $134.64 $176.55 $221.73 $268.46 $320.03
2026-09-06 $53.11 $90.41 $131.30 $177.92 $228.60 $281.33 $339.77
2026-09-13 $47.76 $87.83 $132.45 $183.79 $239.94 $298.59 $363.79
2026-09-20 $41.89 $84.11 $131.98 $187.56 $248.70 $312.81 $384.29
2026-09-27 $33.84 $77.13 $127.40 $186.45 $251.88 $320.80 $397.89
2026-10-04 $26.10 $69.83 $122.06 $184.20 $253.53 $326.91 $409.25
2026-10-11 $18.65 $62.12 $115.85 $180.67 $253.55 $331.05 $418.29
2026-10-18 $10.58 $52.24 $106.57 $173.33 $249.10 $330.13 $421.71
2026-10-25 $4.79 $44.35 $99.44 $168.37 $247.30 $332.15 $428.37
2026-11-01 $1.48 $39.08 $95.29 $166.70 $249.07 $337.96 $439.03
2026-11-08 $0.3782 $37.60 $95.87 $170.52 $256.91 $350.33 $456.69
2026-11-15 N/A $35.87 $96.02 $173.72 $263.97 $361.76 $473.22
2026-11-22 N/A $31.40 $92.27 $172.13 $265.49 $367.00 $482.95
2026-11-29 N/A $28.85 $90.97 $173.39 $270.16 $375.62 $496.26
2026-12-06 N/A $29.05 $93.45 $179.17 $279.94 $389.82 $515.57
2026-12-13 N/A $28.13 $94.28 $182.88 $287.30 $401.29 $531.84
2026-12-20 N/A $24.63 $91.23 $181.78 $289.05 $406.49 $541.22
2026-12-27 N/A $20.74 $87.35 $179.53 $289.41 $410.08 $548.77
2027-01-03 N/A $16.51 $82.56 $176.03 $288.24 $411.89 $554.29
2027-01-10 N/A $10.95 $74.93 $168.75 $282.55 $408.58 $554.14
2027-01-17 N/A $6.93 $69.19 $163.82 $279.67 $408.49 $557.66
2027-01-24 N/A $4.61 $66.07 $162.17 $280.59 $412.64 $565.80

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.