CIFR SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$22.11

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$23.65

Bear 68%

$11.72

Bull 68%

$46.80

68% Range Width

148.3%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $15.27 $17.38 $19.67 $22.32 $25.31 $28.58 $32.42
2026-08-09 $12.69 $15.36 $18.41 $22.16 $26.64 $31.81 $38.23
2026-08-16 $11.22 $14.21 $17.77 $22.33 $28.00 $34.82 $43.61
2026-08-23 $9.81 $12.91 $16.74 $21.83 $28.37 $36.51 $47.37
2026-08-30 $9.01 $12.27 $16.43 $22.11 $29.66 $39.31 $52.56
2026-09-06 $8.22 $11.54 $15.90 $22.04 $30.41 $41.40 $56.90
2026-09-13 $7.79 $11.25 $15.92 $22.65 $32.06 $44.71 $62.98
2026-09-20 $7.42 $11.00 $15.95 $23.25 $33.70 $48.07 $69.26
2026-09-27 $6.96 $10.58 $15.70 $23.42 $34.72 $50.58 $74.46
2026-10-04 $6.77 $10.53 $15.96 $24.33 $36.82 $54.69 $82.10
2026-10-11 $6.33 $10.08 $15.60 $24.29 $37.50 $56.77 $86.88
2026-10-18 $5.65 $9.21 $14.56 $23.14 $36.46 $56.24 $87.72
2026-10-25 $5.26 $8.76 $14.15 $22.97 $36.92 $58.03 $92.24
2026-11-01 $4.93 $8.40 $13.84 $22.91 $37.53 $60.06 $97.20
2026-11-08 $4.68 $8.13 $13.66 $23.05 $38.47 $62.62 $103.08
2026-11-15 $4.31 $7.65 $13.11 $22.54 $38.30 $63.41 $106.16
2026-11-22 $4.13 $7.48 $13.05 $22.83 $39.46 $66.35 $112.85
2026-11-29 $3.90 $7.20 $12.78 $22.76 $39.99 $68.30 $117.97
2026-12-06 $3.81 $7.16 $12.92 $23.38 $41.73 $72.30 $126.68
2026-12-13 $3.72 $7.12 $13.06 $24.01 $43.49 $76.41 $135.75
2026-12-20 $3.57 $6.95 $12.95 $24.19 $44.48 $79.23 $142.72
2026-12-27 $3.54 $7.01 $13.25 $25.12 $46.84 $84.51 $154.18
2027-01-03 $3.37 $6.78 $13.03 $25.07 $47.44 $86.75 $160.37
2027-01-10 $3.05 $6.25 $12.21 $23.89 $45.90 $85.12 $159.61
2027-01-17 $2.88 $6.01 $11.93 $23.71 $46.24 $86.97 $165.31
2027-01-24 $2.73 $5.81 $11.72 $23.65 $46.80 $89.19 $171.80

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.