CIFR SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$16.27

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$17.58

Bear 68%

$8.82

Bull 68%

$34.20

68% Range Width

144.4%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $11.20 $12.73 $14.38 $16.30 $18.45 $20.80 $23.55
2026-10-04 $9.78 $11.81 $14.13 $16.95 $20.31 $24.16 $28.92
2026-10-11 $8.58 $10.84 $13.51 $16.91 $21.11 $26.12 $32.54
2026-10-18 $7.33 $9.62 $12.44 $16.15 $20.89 $26.73 $34.45
2026-10-25 $6.57 $8.92 $11.91 $15.96 $21.28 $28.04 $37.22
2026-11-01 $5.99 $8.39 $11.52 $15.88 $21.78 $29.45 $40.14
2026-11-08 $5.52 $7.96 $11.23 $15.90 $22.36 $30.95 $43.21
2026-11-15 $5.00 $7.41 $10.71 $15.55 $22.40 $31.71 $45.28
2026-11-22 $4.71 $7.15 $10.58 $15.71 $23.14 $33.43 $48.72
2026-11-29 $4.39 $6.83 $10.33 $15.67 $23.56 $34.72 $51.59
2026-12-06 $4.24 $6.74 $10.41 $16.12 $24.71 $37.06 $56.06
2026-12-13 $4.08 $6.64 $10.46 $16.51 $25.77 $39.31 $60.47
2026-12-20 $3.86 $6.42 $10.32 $16.62 $26.45 $41.07 $64.31
2026-12-27 $3.78 $6.42 $10.52 $17.26 $27.96 $44.13 $70.23
2027-01-03 $3.56 $6.17 $10.30 $17.23 $28.41 $45.59 $73.75
2027-01-10 $3.19 $5.66 $9.65 $16.45 $27.63 $45.09 $74.20
2027-01-17 $2.98 $5.39 $9.36 $16.25 $27.77 $46.04 $76.93
2027-01-24 $2.81 $5.18 $9.16 $16.18 $28.09 $47.28 $80.17
2027-01-31 $2.66 $5.02 $9.02 $16.19 $28.56 $48.75 $83.84
2027-02-07 $2.47 $4.74 $8.67 $15.84 $28.38 $49.16 $85.76
2027-02-14 $2.37 $4.64 $8.63 $16.00 $29.10 $51.07 $90.26
2027-02-21 $2.25 $4.49 $8.47 $15.96 $29.45 $52.37 $93.77
2027-02-28 $2.22 $4.48 $8.60 $16.42 $30.69 $55.24 $100.07
2027-03-07 $2.17 $4.46 $8.68 $16.81 $31.83 $57.97 $106.23
2027-03-14 $2.08 $4.36 $8.61 $16.93 $32.51 $59.97 $111.28
2027-03-21 $2.07 $4.40 $8.82 $17.58 $34.20 $63.81 $119.76

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.