CGNX SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$60.17

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$65.98

Bear 68%

$46.88

Bull 68%

$95.34

68% Range Width

73.4%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $52.84 $55.48 $58.16 $61.08 $64.18 $67.38 $70.92
2026-10-04 $48.73 $52.61 $56.69 $61.30 $66.37 $71.79 $78.02
2026-10-11 $44.88 $49.46 $54.39 $60.10 $66.55 $73.63 $82.02
2026-10-18 $42.34 $47.44 $53.04 $59.67 $67.32 $75.92 $86.36
2026-10-25 $41.23 $46.89 $53.21 $60.83 $69.81 $80.11 $92.90
2026-11-01 $41.01 $47.28 $54.40 $63.14 $73.63 $85.91 $101.47
2026-11-08 $39.01 $45.47 $52.90 $62.16 $73.45 $86.87 $104.17
2026-11-15 $37.63 $44.31 $52.11 $61.94 $74.11 $88.80 $108.07
2026-11-22 $35.79 $42.52 $50.46 $60.60 $73.30 $88.84 $109.54
2026-11-29 $34.70 $41.60 $49.82 $60.43 $73.91 $90.63 $113.24
2026-12-06 $34.19 $41.35 $49.97 $61.25 $75.75 $94.00 $119.04
2026-12-13 $33.49 $40.83 $49.77 $61.59 $76.96 $96.57 $123.86
2026-12-20 $33.28 $40.99 $50.49 $63.21 $80.02 $101.80 $132.68
2026-12-27 $32.50 $40.39 $50.23 $63.57 $81.45 $104.95 $138.85
2027-01-03 $31.09 $38.93 $48.81 $62.34 $80.68 $105.10 $140.84
2027-01-10 $30.10 $37.98 $48.01 $61.89 $80.93 $106.63 $144.79
2027-01-17 $29.84 $37.99 $48.45 $63.11 $83.48 $111.38 $153.52
2027-01-24 $30.07 $38.63 $49.75 $65.52 $87.76 $118.70 $166.29
2027-01-31 $28.99 $37.48 $48.59 $64.50 $87.16 $119.04 $168.71
2027-02-07 $28.26 $36.78 $48.02 $64.27 $87.66 $120.96 $173.57
2027-02-14 $27.15 $35.52 $46.65 $62.86 $86.41 $120.27 $174.37
2027-02-21 $26.52 $34.92 $46.17 $62.69 $86.94 $122.19 $179.28
2027-02-28 $26.28 $34.84 $46.40 $63.54 $88.98 $126.44 $188.00
2027-03-07 $25.88 $34.53 $46.29 $63.90 $90.29 $129.60 $195.10
2027-03-14 $25.86 $34.77 $47.04 $65.60 $93.80 $136.46 $208.86
2027-03-21 $25.40 $34.39 $46.88 $65.98 $95.34 $140.37 $218.04

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.