CGNX SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$63.01

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$72.24

Bear 68%

$50.63

Bull 68%

$107.10

68% Range Width

78.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $55.44 $58.26 $61.13 $64.29 $67.65 $71.13 $75.02
2026-08-09 $52.01 $56.27 $60.77 $65.91 $71.61 $77.75 $84.91
2026-08-16 $48.45 $53.53 $59.06 $65.54 $72.95 $81.21 $91.13
2026-08-23 $45.83 $51.51 $57.82 $65.38 $74.26 $84.39 $96.94
2026-08-30 $42.94 $48.93 $55.70 $63.97 $73.87 $85.44 $100.10
2026-09-06 $41.14 $47.46 $54.73 $63.76 $74.79 $87.93 $104.96
2026-09-13 $40.07 $46.77 $54.59 $64.47 $76.76 $91.69 $111.46
2026-09-20 $39.19 $46.24 $54.58 $65.29 $78.83 $95.59 $118.25
2026-09-27 $38.87 $46.35 $55.33 $67.02 $82.07 $101.05 $127.26
2026-10-04 $37.97 $45.70 $55.07 $67.46 $83.64 $104.38 $133.57
2026-10-11 $36.36 $44.09 $53.56 $66.20 $82.92 $104.65 $135.73
2026-10-18 $35.23 $43.03 $52.69 $65.73 $83.19 $106.20 $139.65
2026-10-25 $34.89 $43.03 $53.24 $67.23 $86.27 $111.84 $149.81
2026-11-01 $34.64 $43.14 $53.95 $68.97 $89.77 $118.24 $161.49
2026-11-08 $33.55 $42.12 $53.12 $68.59 $90.30 $120.50 $167.23
2026-11-15 $32.63 $41.27 $52.48 $68.42 $91.10 $123.14 $173.64
2026-11-22 $31.26 $39.78 $50.93 $66.93 $89.93 $122.85 $175.53
2026-11-29 $30.45 $39.01 $50.31 $66.71 $90.58 $125.21 $181.62
2026-12-06 $30.03 $38.76 $50.39 $67.46 $92.65 $129.77 $191.41
2026-12-13 $29.68 $38.58 $50.56 $68.33 $94.90 $134.69 $202.04
2026-12-20 $29.67 $38.87 $51.38 $70.17 $98.68 $142.12 $217.25
2026-12-27 $29.21 $38.51 $51.27 $70.63 $100.37 $146.33 $227.29
2027-01-03 $28.21 $37.36 $49.99 $69.30 $99.21 $145.95 $229.36
2027-01-10 $27.51 $36.62 $49.29 $68.80 $99.33 $147.61 $235.09
2027-01-17 $27.40 $36.75 $49.89 $70.39 $102.95 $155.38 $252.65
2027-01-24 $27.34 $36.97 $50.63 $72.24 $107.10 $164.34 $273.19

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.