BTBT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$1.57

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$1.61

Bear 68%

$0.6917

Bull 68%

$3.93

68% Range Width

201.0%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $1.05 $1.20 $1.36 $1.56 $1.78 $2.03 $2.33
2026-08-09 $0.8058 $0.9965 $1.22 $1.52 $1.89 $2.34 $2.94
2026-08-16 $0.6853 $0.8930 $1.16 $1.51 $1.99 $2.61 $3.48
2026-08-23 $0.6196 $0.8435 $1.14 $1.56 $2.16 $2.97 $4.18
2026-08-30 $0.5557 $0.7852 $1.10 $1.57 $2.26 $3.25 $4.78
2026-09-06 $0.5008 $0.7312 $1.06 $1.57 $2.34 $3.49 $5.35
2026-09-13 $0.4629 $0.6968 $1.04 $1.59 $2.46 $3.80 $6.06
2026-09-20 $0.4347 $0.6728 $1.03 $1.63 $2.60 $4.16 $6.88
2026-09-27 $0.4068 $0.6464 $1.02 $1.65 $2.73 $4.49 $7.69
2026-10-04 $0.3905 $0.6361 $1.03 $1.72 $2.91 $4.95 $8.77
2026-10-11 $0.3579 $0.5961 $0.9869 $1.69 $2.94 $5.13 $9.38
2026-10-18 $0.3258 $0.5537 $0.9362 $1.64 $2.92 $5.24 $9.86
2026-10-25 $0.2974 $0.5163 $0.8920 $1.60 $2.93 $5.39 $10.45
2026-11-01 $0.2726 $0.4831 $0.8526 $1.56 $2.94 $5.55 $11.09
2026-11-08 $0.2549 $0.4609 $0.8303 $1.56 $3.00 $5.82 $11.98
2026-11-15 $0.2467 $0.4554 $0.8380 $1.61 $3.18 $6.34 $13.45
2026-11-22 $0.2336 $0.4394 $0.8244 $1.62 $3.27 $6.69 $14.61
2026-11-29 $0.2201 $0.4213 $0.8053 $1.61 $3.34 $6.99 $15.69
2026-12-06 $0.2110 $0.4112 $0.8007 $1.64 $3.47 $7.44 $17.16
2026-12-13 $0.2043 $0.4052 $0.8036 $1.68 $3.63 $7.98 $18.94
2026-12-20 $0.1964 $0.3962 $0.7996 $1.70 $3.77 $8.47 $20.66
2026-12-27 $0.1929 $0.3958 $0.8133 $1.77 $4.00 $9.21 $23.09
2027-01-03 $0.1807 $0.3764 $0.7853 $1.74 $4.01 $9.41 $24.17
2027-01-10 $0.1679 $0.3544 $0.7500 $1.69 $3.96 $9.49 $24.92
2027-01-17 $0.1563 $0.3347 $0.7193 $1.65 $3.94 $9.63 $25.93
2027-01-24 $0.1459 $0.3170 $0.6917 $1.61 $3.93 $9.81 $27.06

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.