BTBT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$1.49

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$1.58

Bear 68%

$0.6947

Bull 68%

$3.79

68% Range Width

195.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $0.9921 $1.13 $1.28 $1.46 $1.66 $1.89 $2.17
2026-10-04 $0.8197 $1.01 $1.23 $1.52 $1.88 $2.32 $2.90
2026-10-11 $0.6908 $0.8923 $1.15 $1.49 $1.95 $2.54 $3.37
2026-10-18 $0.5911 $0.7951 $1.06 $1.44 $1.98 $2.70 $3.77
2026-10-25 $0.5154 $0.7176 $0.9935 $1.40 $1.99 $2.83 $4.14
2026-11-01 $0.4602 $0.6609 $0.9438 $1.38 $2.03 $2.99 $4.55
2026-11-08 $0.4209 $0.6217 $0.9135 $1.37 $2.10 $3.20 $5.05
2026-11-15 $0.3995 $0.6061 $0.9153 $1.42 $2.23 $3.53 $5.77
2026-11-22 $0.3718 $0.5779 $0.8946 $1.43 $2.31 $3.76 $6.37
2026-11-29 $0.3453 $0.5488 $0.8693 $1.42 $2.37 $3.96 $6.94
2026-12-06 $0.3286 $0.5339 $0.8651 $1.45 $2.48 $4.27 $7.73
2026-12-13 $0.3133 $0.5197 $0.8602 $1.48 $2.59 $4.59 $8.56
2026-12-20 $0.2962 $0.5018 $0.8489 $1.49 $2.69 $4.90 $9.45
2026-12-27 $0.2867 $0.4961 $0.8582 $1.55 $2.87 $5.38 $10.71
2027-01-03 $0.2654 $0.4679 $0.8250 $1.52 $2.88 $5.55 $11.38
2027-01-10 $0.2435 $0.4365 $0.7835 $1.47 $2.86 $5.63 $11.87
2027-01-17 $0.2241 $0.4084 $0.7456 $1.43 $2.83 $5.71 $12.36
2027-01-24 $0.2090 $0.3871 $0.7187 $1.40 $2.84 $5.86 $13.04
2027-01-31 $0.1981 $0.3728 $0.7040 $1.40 $2.90 $6.12 $14.00
2027-02-07 $0.1935 $0.3704 $0.7121 $1.45 $3.06 $6.63 $15.61
2027-02-14 $0.1849 $0.3593 $0.7022 $1.45 $3.14 $6.95 $16.82
2027-02-21 $0.1757 $0.3465 $0.6876 $1.45 $3.19 $7.22 $17.93
2027-02-28 $0.1706 $0.3415 $0.6887 $1.48 $3.33 $7.70 $19.64
2027-03-07 $0.1656 $0.3363 $0.6889 $1.51 $3.46 $8.18 $21.44
2027-03-14 $0.1593 $0.3285 $0.6838 $1.52 $3.57 $8.65 $23.31
2027-03-21 $0.1565 $0.3281 $0.6947 $1.58 $3.79 $9.40 $26.13

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.