AVGO SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$382.33

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$522.85

Bear 68%

$351.59

Bull 68%

$813.61

68% Range Width

88.4%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $324.31 $346.10 $368.73 $394.03 $421.55 $450.62 $483.70
2026-08-09 $299.00 $328.76 $360.85 $398.13 $440.40 $486.97 $542.40
2026-08-16 $281.74 $316.40 $354.79 $400.66 $454.25 $515.20 $590.21
2026-08-23 $268.51 $306.82 $350.21 $403.28 $466.88 $541.18 $635.33
2026-08-30 $252.69 $292.87 $339.21 $397.00 $467.75 $552.30 $662.14
2026-09-06 $242.88 $285.21 $334.85 $397.89 $476.62 $572.75 $700.64
2026-09-13 $235.54 $279.95 $332.82 $401.13 $488.05 $596.35 $743.75
2026-09-20 $232.05 $279.05 $335.86 $410.48 $507.21 $630.20 $801.46
2026-09-27 $227.66 $276.70 $336.81 $416.98 $522.69 $659.68 $854.58
2026-10-04 $225.68 $277.20 $341.22 $427.89 $544.17 $697.76 $921.12
2026-10-11 $222.23 $275.59 $342.73 $434.89 $560.52 $729.43 $980.19
2026-10-18 $216.88 $271.25 $340.43 $436.59 $569.56 $751.24 $1,026.08
2026-10-25 $215.84 $272.85 $346.41 $450.29 $596.57 $800.61 $1,116.89
2026-11-01 $211.45 $269.81 $346.02 $455.16 $611.36 $833.29 $1,184.93
2026-11-08 $206.71 $266.04 $344.43 $458.14 $623.39 $862.31 $1,248.89
2026-11-15 $202.34 $262.59 $343.05 $461.25 $635.56 $891.93 $1,315.40
2026-11-22 $194.65 $254.27 $334.61 $453.82 $631.73 $897.06 $1,342.78
2026-11-29 $190.26 $250.37 $332.15 $454.87 $640.49 $921.68 $1,403.21
2026-12-06 $187.03 $247.95 $331.65 $458.70 $653.52 $953.43 $1,477.35
2026-12-13 $186.26 $248.93 $335.97 $469.78 $678.09 $1,004.57 $1,587.83
2026-12-20 $184.48 $248.39 $338.05 $477.48 $697.63 $1,048.52 $1,688.76
2026-12-27 $184.31 $250.14 $343.47 $490.43 $726.02 $1,108.44 $1,822.54
2027-01-03 $182.81 $249.88 $345.86 $498.74 $747.23 $1,157.38 $1,939.82
2027-01-10 $179.64 $247.04 $344.31 $500.76 $758.12 $1,189.17 $2,027.12
2027-01-17 $179.90 $249.54 $351.22 $517.05 $794.55 $1,269.21 $2,217.49
2027-01-24 $177.36 $247.78 $351.59 $522.85 $813.61 $1,319.82 $2,354.99

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.