AVGO SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$343.62

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$444.76

Bear 68%

$306.79

Bull 68%

$668.03

68% Range Width

81.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $288.13 $306.21 $324.87 $345.58 $367.94 $391.39 $417.86
2026-10-04 $270.11 $295.62 $322.91 $354.33 $389.62 $428.13 $473.46
2026-10-11 $257.26 $287.43 $320.54 $359.71 $404.95 $455.80 $517.54
2026-10-18 $245.30 $278.73 $316.18 $361.48 $415.06 $476.77 $553.74
2026-10-25 $239.85 $276.70 $318.77 $370.67 $433.42 $507.37 $601.91
2026-11-01 $233.51 $272.99 $318.82 $376.39 $447.35 $532.71 $644.35
2026-11-08 $226.10 $267.46 $316.20 $378.39 $456.41 $552.04 $679.70
2026-11-15 $218.14 $260.79 $311.71 $377.63 $461.66 $566.43 $708.99
2026-11-22 $208.31 $251.33 $303.30 $371.45 $459.52 $571.03 $725.36
2026-11-29 $202.75 $246.91 $300.88 $372.56 $466.55 $587.42 $757.67
2026-12-06 $198.37 $243.74 $299.83 $375.25 $475.52 $606.47 $794.13
2026-12-13 $195.83 $242.75 $301.42 $381.29 $488.98 $631.81 $840.13
2026-12-20 $192.55 $240.97 $302.24 $386.79 $502.54 $658.66 $890.83
2026-12-27 $191.11 $241.49 $306.04 $396.35 $521.94 $694.32 $955.92
2027-01-03 $188.50 $240.31 $307.46 $402.60 $536.85 $724.16 $1,013.91
2027-01-10 $184.47 $237.06 $305.92 $404.62 $545.77 $745.67 $1,060.39
2027-01-17 $183.83 $238.32 $310.47 $415.20 $567.19 $786.08 $1,137.54
2027-01-24 $181.81 $237.59 $312.20 $421.77 $582.96 $818.73 $1,204.34
2027-01-31 $178.45 $234.86 $311.03 $424.08 $592.45 $842.22 $1,257.71
2027-02-07 $174.20 $230.77 $307.78 $423.21 $597.06 $858.34 $1,299.86
2027-02-14 $168.14 $223.95 $300.48 $416.09 $591.88 $859.02 $1,316.48
2027-02-21 $165.07 $221.25 $298.92 $417.37 $599.52 $879.92 $1,367.76
2027-02-28 $162.70 $219.47 $298.61 $420.46 $609.98 $905.64 $1,428.46
2027-03-07 $161.61 $219.47 $300.84 $427.41 $626.68 $942.00 $1,509.48
2027-03-14 $159.96 $218.82 $302.36 $433.75 $643.35 $980.23 $1,598.31
2027-03-21 $159.66 $220.11 $306.79 $444.76 $668.03 $1,033.03 $1,717.11

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.