AMD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$520.06

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$1,353.54

Bear 68%

$405.94

Bull 68%

$42,621.54

68% Range Width

3118.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $386.82 $436.08 $492.63 $563.19 $650.02 $755.02 $894.20
2026-10-04 $341.81 $409.44 $494.94 $614.28 $782.51 $1,021.64 $1,409.91
2026-10-11 $303.30 $377.85 $478.33 $630.22 $867.63 $1,253.77 $2,012.60
2026-10-18 $271.88 $348.19 $455.88 $628.68 $921.81 $1,456.76 $2,718.62
2026-10-25 $244.20 $318.90 $427.86 $610.62 $940.93 $1,603.71 $3,451.47
2026-11-01 $231.50 $308.98 $426.29 $633.46 $1,037.85 $1,955.26 $5,221.48
2026-11-08 $216.97 $294.34 $414.83 $636.33 $1,096.55 $2,257.84 $7,541.97
2026-11-15 $206.76 $285.00 $410.35 $650.37 $1,183.14 $2,699.58 $12,289.05
2026-11-22 $193.16 $268.95 $392.56 $635.64 $1,199.63 $2,948.79 $17,602.56
2026-11-29 $183.23 $257.86 $381.93 $633.05 $1,245.22 $3,345.80 $29,743.14
2026-12-06 $185.45 $266.67 $407.04 $708.85 $1,528.88 $5,124.98 $271,235.61
2026-12-13 $178.79 $259.94 $403.04 $720.75 $1,637.95 $6,330.97 N/A
2026-12-20 $175.33 $260.73 $417.79 $791.37 $2,029.32 $11,607.63 N/A
2026-12-27 $172.10 $261.94 $434.58 $877.37 $2,607.18 $28,934.60 N/A
2027-01-03 $163.92 $253.14 $429.43 $904.64 $2,993.58 $68,773.45 N/A
2027-01-10 $154.56 $241.08 $415.36 $901.98 $3,240.11 $176,249.39 N/A
2027-01-17 $144.47 $226.63 $393.98 $871.11 $3,292.47 $416,495.15 N/A
2027-01-24 $139.91 $222.34 $394.62 $910.20 $3,905.05 N/A N/A
2027-01-31 $133.78 $214.40 $385.69 $915.15 $4,301.19 N/A N/A
2027-02-07 $129.26 $209.20 $382.46 $939.42 $4,974.22 N/A N/A
2027-02-14 $122.70 $199.37 $366.85 $913.95 $5,095.66 N/A N/A
2027-02-21 $117.72 $192.39 $357.41 $909.49 $5,495.37 N/A N/A
2027-02-28 $118.86 $198.04 $380.09 $1,042.20 $8,674.84 N/A N/A
2027-03-07 $115.33 $193.59 $376.30 $1,063.45 $10,280.47 N/A N/A
2027-03-14 $113.82 $194.53 $390.22 $1,191.86 $18,230.50 N/A N/A
2027-03-21 $112.37 $195.69 $405.94 $1,353.54 $42,621.54 N/A N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.