AMD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$524.00

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$768.44

Bear 68%

$350.24

Bull 68%

$2,553.89

68% Range Width

286.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $383.69 $425.81 $472.68 $529.08 $595.64 $672.40 $768.57
2026-08-09 $323.45 $378.24 $444.13 $530.66 $643.55 $789.26 $997.59
2026-08-16 $287.30 $348.41 $426.08 $534.89 $688.44 $906.02 $1,255.83
2026-08-23 $258.03 $321.27 $404.99 $528.21 $713.20 $996.48 $1,501.65
2026-08-30 $232.71 $295.50 $381.21 $512.26 $718.98 $1,056.60 $1,715.90
2026-09-06 $218.81 $283.30 $374.10 $518.45 $758.30 $1,178.53 $2,089.72
2026-09-13 $210.97 $278.49 $376.52 $538.77 $823.60 $1,362.77 $2,684.59
2026-09-20 $204.86 $275.34 $380.70 $561.94 $897.97 $1,587.09 $3,523.65
2026-09-27 $199.97 $273.38 $386.20 $587.71 $982.37 $1,862.60 $4,750.88
2026-10-04 $194.99 $270.71 $390.07 $610.88 $1,066.71 $2,172.94 $6,476.75
2026-10-11 $187.85 $264.01 $386.51 $619.73 $1,122.81 $2,437.02 $8,453.25
2026-10-18 $180.83 $256.91 $381.54 $625.03 $1,172.17 $2,706.73 $11,049.39
2026-10-25 $173.95 $249.95 $376.86 $631.77 $1,230.77 $3,052.43 $15,364.99
2026-11-01 $166.87 $242.22 $370.20 $633.85 $1,279.69 $3,404.58 $21,651.22
2026-11-08 $160.91 $235.92 $365.50 $639.32 $1,339.52 $3,847.07 $32,854.47
2026-11-15 $153.63 $226.86 $354.95 $630.70 $1,358.78 $4,143.80 $46,325.78
2026-11-22 $145.47 $215.82 $339.85 $610.17 $1,339.35 $4,258.00 $58,830.05
2026-11-29 $141.46 $211.72 $337.49 $618.13 $1,407.31 $4,868.81 $112,855.12
2026-12-06 $139.79 $211.59 $342.69 $644.33 $1,541.47 $6,025.77 $420,603.27
2026-12-13 $138.51 $212.05 $349.02 $674.35 $1,701.32 $7,664.41 $13,556,905.86
2026-12-20 $137.51 $212.94 $356.25 $707.92 $1,890.46 $10,055.54 N/A
2026-12-27 $136.14 $213.01 $361.81 $738.24 $2,084.10 $13,263.40 N/A
2027-01-03 $133.17 $209.91 $360.46 $749.85 $2,207.47 $16,294.57 N/A
2027-01-10 $129.99 $206.24 $357.57 $756.83 $2,315.27 $19,807.67 N/A
2027-01-17 $126.78 $202.57 $354.91 $765.70 $2,446.77 $25,136.58 N/A
2027-01-24 $123.23 $198.09 $350.24 $768.44 $2,553.89 $31,467.29 N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.