AI SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$8.60

Base Path by Jan 24, 2027

$7.16

Bear 68%

$5.03

Bull 68%

$10.67

68% Range Width

78.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-02 $7.13 $7.53 $7.95 $8.41 $8.91 $9.43 $10.02
2026-08-09 $6.42 $6.98 $7.58 $8.27 $9.05 $9.90 $10.90
2026-08-16 $6.01 $6.69 $7.44 $8.32 $9.36 $10.53 $11.97
2026-08-23 $5.72 $6.48 $7.35 $8.41 $9.68 $11.17 $13.07
2026-08-30 $5.33 $6.14 $7.07 $8.23 $9.66 $11.38 $13.65
2026-09-06 $5.09 $5.93 $6.93 $8.20 $9.81 $11.79 $14.47
2026-09-13 $4.89 $5.77 $6.83 $8.21 $9.98 $12.23 $15.35
2026-09-20 $4.69 $5.59 $6.70 $8.16 $10.08 $12.55 $16.08
2026-09-27 $4.52 $5.45 $6.60 $8.14 $10.20 $12.92 $16.88
2026-10-04 $4.36 $5.31 $6.49 $8.10 $10.28 $13.22 $17.61
2026-10-11 $4.17 $5.12 $6.31 $7.95 $10.22 $13.31 $18.03
2026-10-18 $4.03 $4.99 $6.20 $7.89 $10.26 $13.56 $18.69
2026-10-25 $3.88 $4.83 $6.05 $7.78 $10.23 $13.69 $19.20
2026-11-01 $3.74 $4.69 $5.92 $7.68 $10.21 $13.85 $19.74
2026-11-08 $3.67 $4.63 $5.90 $7.73 $10.41 $14.34 $20.84
2026-11-15 $3.61 $4.59 $5.90 $7.81 $10.66 $14.89 $22.08
2026-11-22 $3.47 $4.44 $5.73 $7.65 $10.53 $14.88 $22.38
2026-11-29 $3.38 $4.36 $5.67 $7.63 $10.61 $15.19 $23.24
2026-12-06 $3.31 $4.29 $5.62 $7.64 $10.73 $15.56 $24.22
2026-12-13 $3.23 $4.21 $5.55 $7.59 $10.77 $15.80 $25.00
2026-12-20 $3.16 $4.14 $5.49 $7.57 $10.85 $16.11 $25.91
2026-12-27 $3.09 $4.07 $5.42 $7.54 $10.89 $16.35 $26.73
2027-01-03 $2.99 $3.95 $5.30 $7.40 $10.78 $16.33 $27.03
2027-01-10 $2.92 $3.88 $5.23 $7.35 $10.79 $16.52 $27.76
2027-01-17 $2.84 $3.78 $5.12 $7.25 $10.72 $16.57 $28.23
2027-01-24 $2.76 $3.70 $5.03 $7.16 $10.67 $16.65 $28.77

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.