AI SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$10.82

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$9.52

Bear 68%

$6.50

Bull 68%

$14.73

68% Range Width

86.4%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $9.08 $9.64 $10.22 $10.87 $11.57 $12.32 $13.16
2026-10-04 $8.22 $9.01 $9.86 $10.84 $11.96 $13.20 $14.69
2026-10-11 $7.49 $8.40 $9.42 $10.64 $12.08 $13.74 $15.81
2026-10-18 $6.98 $7.98 $9.13 $10.54 $12.27 $14.32 $16.98
2026-10-25 $6.55 $7.61 $8.85 $10.42 $12.39 $14.80 $18.02
2026-11-01 $6.20 $7.30 $8.62 $10.33 $12.51 $15.26 $19.06
2026-11-08 $5.98 $7.14 $8.55 $10.42 $12.86 $16.02 $20.51
2026-11-15 $5.80 $7.02 $8.51 $10.53 $13.23 $16.80 $22.04
2026-11-22 $5.50 $6.71 $8.23 $10.30 $13.13 $16.94 $22.67
2026-11-29 $5.32 $6.55 $8.12 $10.29 $13.31 $17.47 $23.88
2026-12-06 $5.15 $6.41 $8.02 $10.29 $13.50 $18.02 $25.14
2026-12-13 $4.99 $6.25 $7.89 $10.24 $13.61 $18.45 $26.25
2026-12-20 $4.83 $6.11 $7.79 $10.22 $13.77 $18.95 $27.54
2026-12-27 $4.68 $5.96 $7.66 $10.16 $13.86 $19.38 $28.73
2027-01-03 $4.49 $5.75 $7.45 $9.96 $13.74 $19.46 $29.35
2027-01-10 $4.34 $5.60 $7.31 $9.87 $13.77 $19.78 $30.38
2027-01-17 $4.20 $5.45 $7.16 $9.76 $13.76 $20.01 $31.29
2027-01-24 $4.08 $5.32 $7.04 $9.67 $13.78 $20.30 $32.31
2027-01-31 $4.01 $5.27 $7.03 $9.76 $14.07 $21.06 $34.23
2027-02-07 $3.95 $5.24 $7.03 $9.86 $14.39 $21.87 $36.34
2027-02-14 $3.81 $5.07 $6.84 $9.65 $14.20 $21.80 $36.73
2027-02-21 $3.73 $4.99 $6.78 $9.64 $14.33 $22.30 $38.28
2027-02-28 $3.66 $4.92 $6.73 $9.64 $14.48 $22.83 $39.95
2027-03-07 $3.58 $4.83 $6.65 $9.59 $14.55 $23.21 $41.35
2027-03-14 $3.50 $4.76 $6.58 $9.57 $14.67 $23.71 $43.05
2027-03-21 $3.42 $4.67 $6.50 $9.52 $14.73 $24.10 $44.57

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.